SCF 2016 Game 2 – SJ at PIT – Detailed Statistical Breakdown

Game Notes PIT vs S.J


San Jose Sharks (Head Coach: Peter DeBoer) at Pittsburgh Penguins (Head Coach: Mike Sullivan)

NHL Game #412, CONSOL Energy Center, 2016-06-01 06:00:00PM (GMT -0600)

Penguins 2-1 (OT)

Referees: Wes McCauley, Kelly Sutherland, Dan O’Halloran
Linesmen: Pierre Racicot, Derek Amell, Brian Murphy

Three Stars: Conor Sheary; Phil Kessel; Justin Braun

  • Another intense game. You’d almost think this was important to the players or something.
    • I saw someone call it ‘go kart’ hockey – good name!
  • Penguins up 2-0 – after all the Western dominance, who saw that coming?  According to the NHL, the Penguins now have an 88.9% chance of winning the Cup.
  • Joe Thornton led the Sharks in faceoffs 62.5% (5-3), and on-ice 5v5 shot attempts (59%).  He led Crosby head to head.  Whatever ails this team, it’s NOT Jumbo Joe, so let’s leave the ‘choke’ narrative on the shelf where it belongs.
  • Before the series, I recall one commentator (can’t remember who specifically) picking Pittsburgh because he felt their scoring depth would overwhelm the weak Sharks third pairing.  Interestingly, that’s exactly what the first goal was, with the Penguin third line exploiting the weak San Jose pairing of Polak and Dillon.
  • That said, in the first game, it was the top two pairings that had absolutely brutal games. This one, the Sharks D improved their play overall, but  pairings two and three were not good.
    • You can see this especially in the raw vs danger-weighted metrics for the Braun and Vlasic pairing – they did OK on the raw metrics, but got absolutely torched on the danger metrics.  They actually were in line with the other pairs as far as shot distance against goes, so it was the inability to create anything remotely dangerous when they were on the ice that was the culprit.
    • You might retort “but Braun had a goal!” (and was also one of the three stars)… to which I’d say a 51 ft snap shot isn’t exactly frightening.  Sometimes that’s how it works.  I will admit, I wasn’t watching any specific pairing, including his, all that carefully.  Maybe Vlasic was the one struggling.  But by danger weighted stats, it was not a good game for them.
    • Bottom line is that the Sharks can’t win without top rank performances from both the Burns and Vlasic pairings, and only one of those pairings was adequate tonight.
  • Especially telling is how much of an edge the Penguins had (again) in shot distance.
  • Jultz had another solid game.  I don’t get the hate – it’s not like he didn’t have the occasional run of solid games for the Oilers either.  Good on him for bringing it on the big stage.

Reminder: most of the stats below are for 5v5 in regulation time only, not OT; they are also from the San Jose point of view.


Game at a Glance

View post on imgur.com

View post on imgur.com

Leaderboard

  • Justin Braun led the way for the Sharks with 1 goal (but got torched on the danger weighted shots)
  • Brent Burns blasted 4 shots on goal, and was most active on the team with 10 shot attempts
  • Joe Thornton was the faceoff champ at 62.5% (5-3), and led the team in on-ice 5v5 shot attempts at 58.8% (20-14).
  • Melker Karlsson trailed the team in 5v5 on-ice shot attempts at 29.4% (5-12)
  • Brenden Dillon, Joe Pavelski, Brent Burns each thumped the other team 5 times

Goal Overview

Team Period Time Strength ShotType ShotDist Danger
PIT 2 8:20 EV Wrist 9.0 2.63
S.J 3 15:55 EV Snap 51.0 0.29
PIT 4 2:35 EV Wrist 33.0 0.71

Who Won the 5v5 Shot Battle?

Which Battle Who Won By How Much
Shots PIT 26 to 18 (59.1%)
Average Shot Distance Against (ft) PIT 33 to 44
Corsi PIT 50 to 43 (53.8%)
Score & Venue Adjusted Corsi PIT 50 to 43 (53.7%)
Fenwick PIT 36 to 29 (55.4%)
Dangerous Fenwick PIT 33 to 23 (58.5%)

http://i.imgur.com/eLQLWsX.png

View post on imgur.com

Detailed Metrics

Shot Metrics
Strength CF CA CF% SACF SACA SACF% FF FA FF% DFF DFA DFF%
EV 43 50 46.2 43.2 50.1 46.3 29 36 44.6 23.2 32.7 41.5
All 49 59 45.4 49.2 59.2 45.4 35 42 45.5 26.7 36.5 42.3
Other Metrics
Team PP PPG PIM FO Hits Giveaways Takeaways
Penguins 2 0 2 54.8 36 8 8
Sharks 1 0 4 45.2 43 4 5

How the Players Did (On Ice Shot Attempts)

New chart! Shows how the players did directly comparing raw Corsi with DangerousFenwick. Look for big discrepancies one way or the other.

View post on imgur.com


http://i.imgur.com/CWVWAzy.png

View post on imgur.com

Danger Tables

Forwards are sorted by decreasing CF%. Defensemen and pairs sorted by increasing DFA60. Forward lines by decreasing DFF%. Positions are as listed by the NHL roster page, not necessarily where they played.

Centres
Centre EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
J. Thornton 17:05 50.0 20 14 58.8 59.3 64.7 50.6
T. Hertl 18:50 50.0 21 15 58.3 58.8 63.2 58.5
J. Pavelski 18:15 47.1 21 16 56.8 57.1 60 58.6
L. Couture 15:08 60.0 11 9 55 54.6 50 46
N. Spaling 07:53 33.3 5 8 38.5 38.4 41.7 30.3
T. Wingels 07:34 33.3 5 8 38.5 38.6 41.7 35.9
P. Marleau 14:50 33.3 6 13 31.6 31.1 31.2 36.4
C. Tierney 12:27 8.3 7 16 30.4 30.3 27.8 30.1
M. Karlsson 09:12 44.4 5 12 29.4 29.1 31.2 36.2
Wingers
Winger EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
J. Donskoi 15:35 60.0 12 9 57.1 56.5 50 46.7
J. Ward 14:10 37.5 10 15 40 40.3 36.8 32.1
M. Nieto 11:02 0.0 6 14 30 30 30.8 29.2
Defensemen

The DFA/60 (how much how bad the D gave up) are pretty much OK across the board.  It’s the terrible DFF% (balance of danger) for Braun and Vlasic that really stands out.

Defense EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF% DFA60
P. Martin 20:00 47.1 18 20 47.4 47.7 48 51.1 32.1
B. Burns 20:19 44.4 19 20 48.7 48.9 48.1 51.5 32.49
J. Braun 17:33 30.8 13 12 52 52.5 38.9 18.7 37.61
M. Vlasic 18:22 33.3 14 13 51.9 52.3 42.1 16.5 37.89
R. Polak 16:09 40.0 12 18 40 39.7 47.6 49 38.64
B. Dillon 15:36 40.0 10 18 35.7 35.1 38.1 44.5 41.92
Defense Pairings
Pair EVTOI DFA60 AvgDistA CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
P. Martin B. Burns 18:55 33.94 31.3 18 19 48.6 48.9 48 51.1
M. Vlasic J. Braun 15:47 39.16 28.2 12 10 54.5 55.1 40 12.9
B. Dillon R. Polak 14:35 39.91 28.2 10 15 40 39.4 44.4 47.4
Forward Lines

Lots of line mixing … what do we call that, the Boerlender?

Line EVTOI CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
P. Marleau M. Karlsson M. Nieto 02:16 2 1 66.7 65 100 100
J. Donskoi L. Couture J. Ward 04:41 7 1 87.5 87 83.3 93.4
J. Pavelski J. Thornton T. Hertl 15:55 20 12 62.5 62.9 73.3 60.4
P. Marleau J. Donskoi L. Couture 08:43 4 6 40 39.9 37.5 25.2
J. Ward C. Tierney M. Nieto 06:45 3 9 25 25.7 25 23
N. Spaling T. Wingels M. Karlsson 04:22 3 5 37.5 38.2 37.5 20.4

Game Flows

View post on imgur.com

View post on imgur.com

View post on imgur.com

Rink Maps

Defense Pairings – Shots Given Up

View post on imgur.com


http://i.imgur.com/JL2rlcS.png
http://i.imgur.com/4C4flQx.png

Forward Lines – Shots Taken

View post on imgur.com

View post on imgur.com


http://i.imgur.com/DmSTTfx.png

View post on imgur.com

Head to Head

View post on imgur.com


http://i.imgur.com/5FpTN1a.png
http://i.imgur.com/5fGxkUt.png

View post on imgur.com

NHL Media Highlights

Click the link to play the associated highlight video

Jones’ point-blank save
Braun’s game-tying goal
Murray’s late save in the 2nd
Camera lens falls onto ice
Kessel capitalizes on turnover
Hertl’s great attempt hits post
Sheary’s game-winning goal in OT
Tierney’s shot off the crossbar
Murray’s early save
Hertl finds the post three times
Murray’s flurry of late saves
Jones’ back-to-back saves
Jones denies Malkin’s spin-o-rama
Jones denies Hornqvist twice
G Money Written by: