How Did the Oilers Improve So Much This Season? Part 1 by Andrew Taylor 

This is the first of a five part series looking into the areas in which the Oilers improved in the 2016-17 NHL season, leading them to their first playoff appearance in eleven years.  

I have begun using a few keynote phrases on twitter when I speak of the Edmonton Oilers over the past year, in particular when stating my beliefs about why the team is finally in good hands and the success we witnessed shouldn’t be short-term jubilation, such as 2005-06 turned out to be post-mortem.  One such phrase I often use is “It’s not just take McDavid and add water”, and I have been hoping to properly expand on that for a while now (thanks to the Beer League Heroes for giving me such an outlet).

The Oilers improved by 33 points and 21 places in the overall standings this year.  Impressive!  In fact, there are few examples of equal or better improvement throughout NHL history.  Here are some:

The Boston Bruins improved from 44 points in 70 games in 1966-67 to 84 points in 74 games in 1967-68.  If you average those out over 82 game seasons it would be a 42 point improvement.  Oh, by the way, 1966-67 was the rookie campaign of 1 Bobby Orr.  In his second season, when the team made the huge improvement, he actually regressed from third in team scoring to 11th, even though he only went from 41 points to 31.  They also added some kid by the name of Phil Esposito who chipped in a goal or two along the way.

The Buffalo Sabres had a major improvement from 1971-72 (51 points in 78 games) to 1972-73 (88 points in 78 games), an improvement of 39 points averaged out over 82 game seasons.  There actually wasn’t a massive overhaul to credit the improvement to but they did bring in Tim Horton and Jim Schoenfeld to improve the defense.  Oh right, they also brought in René Robert and created the “French Connection Line” which is still legendary to this day.

Unfortunately, this may have seemed like a 1 year wonder as they took a step back to 76 points in 78 games the next year.  It was actually the calm before the storm.  In 1974-75 they had their best season on record amassing 113 points in 80 games, a 36 point improvement over 82 games.  They had 6 forwards score 70 points or more and none scored more than 100.  Scoring by committee is essential for team success after all.  This was their first of 2 trips to the Stanley Cup finals for their organization, the second coming in 1998-99 with a far less dramatic improvement points wise from the year before.

I added some anecdotes about these teams to show that typically a massive improvement in the standings isn’t simply the result of one thing.  More often than not it is a combination of changes alongside the group of players coming together to right their ship.

More examples exist, such as the 2005-06 Carolina Hurricanes who, after the 2004-05 NHL lockout and their team being 36 points lower in 2003-04, stood in the way of the Oilers winning their sixth Stanley Cup.

One thing seems typical in all cases; the teams in their improvement year had better scoring depth and goals against were reduced from the previous seasons.

Front Office and Coaching Overhaul

Sometimes, someone can say something to you without realizing how profound of a statement it might turn out to be.  We had already seen Bill Daly reveal us the golden ticket that would put #97 in an Oilers jersey for likely his whole career.  When the news hit that Peter Chiarelli had been hired as General Manager and President of Hockey Operations for the Edmonton Oilers on April 24, 2015, a mere nine days after being hastily relieved of his duties by the Boston Bruins, a co-worker at the time said to me “So the Oilers decided to join the NHL”.  I remember thinking,

“He’s right; if they get the right people in place then maybe, just maybe, this could take off lightning fast and the Oilers could rise from the ashes”.

Hockey can appear complex at times with line matching, trap defense, and other such progressions to the game mainly due to its evolution.  In reality, however, the game is quite simple; a team scores more goals than its opponent and they win the game.  So, bringing players in that increase the odds of that happening and instilling the proper systems and practice habits and you’re bound to make progress.  The same with management and coaches; no one player is so dynamic and elite that they can rise to the top in a system filled with ineptitude and confusion.

Peter Chiarelli is a cold, calculated businessman; he is experienced, envisioning, and focused.  His job is to make the Edmonton Oilers the best possible team they can be in the shortest amount of time as possible.  He has made some errors in the past, but his ability to learn and grow from those errors, I believe, are going to help drive his success in Edmonton.  In a way, he is the anti-Steve Tambellini in that he is focused on being three steps ahead on pending issues than taking the wait and see approach.

Adding Todd McLellan and his staff, also in my opinion, was the perfect fit for the Oilers.  I recall many Oilers fans pining for the “prize of coaches” Mike Babcock, but I was sold on McLellan based on his philosophy on how to handle his centres and his familiarity with the Pacific Division having coached the San Jose Sharks previously.  I often remark to myself how humble and down to earth Todd seems in interviews, and how he doesn’t allow himself or any of his players to appear above the team.  His teamwork mentality has overtaken the team culture of the Edmonton Oilers, and that has already paid dividends.  I expect the Oilers to not only achieve some lofty goals but to hit those goals, so quicker than what seems plausible and realistic.

When Chiarelli and McLellan arrived here three out of the five main pieces for the team’s foundation were already here in my opinion with the fourth on its way and the fifth a little more than a year away from being added.  Consider what your views of Leon Draisaitl, Oscar Klefbom, and Darnell Nurse were two years ago compared to today.  All three of these players have come miles, and if you believe a proper management and coaching staff didn’t have a hand in them progressing so effectively than I wonder what you think these guys do behind the scenes to earn their salaries.

There is more to building a powerhouse than what you can see from your living room couch, and if you doubt that a potential powerhouse is being constructed then I would love to hear your explanation of the 2016-17 season.

Come back tomorrow for Part 2 of this 5-part series! The focus, effective player attrition.

Go follow Andrew Taylor on Twitter @drewtaylor1978!

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Guest Blog: When Did the Oilers Rebuild Actually Start? By Andrew Taylor

Depending on who you ask the Edmonton Oilers have either endured the longest, most clueless rebuild in the history of the NHL, or one of the quickest, most efficient turnarounds that can be imagined.  That statement alone would be enough to split an already fragile fan base who already spend countless hours arguing over the (perceived) successes and (apparent) failures of Peter Chiarelli.

Let me preface this with a few points:

  • The Edmonton Oilers were a dysfunctional organization for the better part of a decade between trips to the post-season in ’06 and ’17;
  • They are more lucky for the loyal and passionate fan base who, for reasons that can’t be logically explained, stood by them while they tossed and turned in their proverbial sleep than they are for the four #1 overall draft picks they have been blessed with over the last seven years;
  • The point of this blog is not to absolve them of ownership for the years of ineptitude that I highly believe no other fan base would allow (“allow” as in you do what you want but I’ll be over here NOT buying your overpriced game tickets and merchandise).  It is simply to share with you my point of view as to when this (latest incarnation of a) rebuild actually started.  This is solely to demonstrate that what we are seeing is a real thing, an actual NHL team, which likely will become a perennial Stanley Cup contender if it’s not already.

Although the claim was made by Darryl Katz himself back on a cold day in February of 2010, the Edmonton Oilers were not rebuilding then.  I get it that the team was tanking, picking up picks for real NHL bodies at the deadline, and were mere months away from drafting their first in a continuous series of high first round draft picks, that is after already grabbing Sam Gagner at #6 overall in 2007.  What they were doing was collecting players and hoping they simply would turn into a good team.  There really wasn’t an identity, and if they had a plan other than simple hope, it wasn’t working.

Don’t be mad at them for pulling the wool over your eyes back then; they didn’t realize they were joyriding an NHL franchise themselves.

So, when did the rebuild start?  Is it the gold McDavid card we all saw with utter disbelief, the Bob Nicholson hiring, the Peter Chiarelli hiring?  Those are valid guesses and it definitely was around then.  The rebuild, in my opinion of course, actually began on November 2nd, 2014, and here is why.

To me, the measure of a successful season is a berth into the playoffs, full stop.  For teams that have championship windows that are closing, a playoff appearance only to be sent packing in the first round can cost a coach a job, but overall I think playing hockey on or around April 15th should, for the most part, be considered success.

There are currently five teams in the NHL which I would consider “consistently successful”; the Chicago Blackhawks, the Minnesota Wild, the New York Rangers, the Pittsburgh Penguins, and the St. Louis Blues.  These five teams have all made the playoffs each of the last five years, and these five teams all have a core group of players, as many as 8 (Minnesota) and as few as 5 (Pittsburgh).  Huh?  How did I come up with that?  Well, for that part, I tried to keep my views out of it as I am predominantly an Oilers fan and don’t pretend to follow the other teams.

To me it’s simple; any players that have cap hits which exceed 3 million dollars and was a member of their team for the 5 consecutive years to me would be a part of their core.  And, to be honest, that’s about as objective as it gets.  Oh, and by the way, I simply don’t include goaltenders in the conversation of core group.  Not for any other reason than to make the comparison of team to team simpler to consider.  Is Cam Talbot a major reason for the Oilers’ success this season?  Absolutely.  Was trading for him somewhat of a shot in the dark?  I think so.

So, who are the 5 to 8 players on the Oilers that are the core?  Well, they currently have 10 skaters that have a cap hit over 3 million (not including Mark Fayne or Andrew Ference of course) but I don’t believe all 10 will be here when this team is a powerhouse.  Some will be moved, some will simply not be resigned when their current contract is up.  In my opinion, the Oilers core is Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Oscar Klefbom, Adam Larsson, and Darnell Nurse.  All 5 of these players are 24 or younger and generally fit into the mold I believe Peter Chiarelli envisions for this team; fast, talented, big and tough.

Until McDavid was gifted to us I always remarked that the biggest problem with the “rebuild” (again, just because you call something a rebuild doesn’t make it so) was that they built it backwards.  Defensemen take longer to develop than the soldiers up front and drafting Taylor Hall, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Jordan Eberle, Nail Yakupov, etc. without revamping the defensive core is just gathering players and hoping for the best.

So, why November 2nd, 2014?  A rebuild starts when a team’s core begins to be built, and on that day the recall of Oscar Klefbom for the final time, as we look back on it now, signifies the beginning of what we’ve all been waiting for.  And finally, the day the rebuild started was the day their #1 defenseman became a permanent part of the team.  So, no backwards rebuild in the end, just an up and coming defenseman that fits into the age group of the rest of the core.

Oh, and by the way, in the end, Oscar Klefbom cost the Edmonton Oilers Tyler Myers, Justin Schultz (oh the irony), and Kirill Petrov draft picks wise.  I’m doing that 7 days out of 7, how about you?  Looks like, even in their darkest hour, the Edmonton Oilers fell ass backwards into a cornerstone defenseman.  I guess the sun does shine on a dog’s behind once in a while.

**From time to time we get requests from our fans to do a guest post and we’re very happy to accommodate the BLH following in this regard! You can follow Andrew Taylor on Twitter (@drewtaylor1978) and I suggest you do so, he’s a bright mind with an excellent online personality.**

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The Oilers Roster Speculation Begins

Which players will be in the Oilers starting lineup come opening night in the 2017/18 season?

This is a topic that hasn’t just started now. It started at the beginning of the playoffs but we sure have a more pronounced idea of that now that the Oilers are on the outside looking in. It didn’t even take 24 hours for the insiders to start getting questions regarding Edmonton’s summer moves.

In this post, I’d just like to concentrate on the trade possibilities and touch on the free agents on a future blog.

The following quotes come from Chris Nichols’ at the Fan Rag Sports Network

DARREN DREGER

“What’s going to happen though – Chiarelli is going to have to get very creative. I think that Jordan Eberle has probably played his last game with the Edmonton Oilers. And some wonder if they might have to make a real significant move, and maybe move both Eberle and Nugent-Hopkins. I doubt it. I think that they still very much value Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and I could see why in watching that team closely.

“But that money has got to come from somewhere. And when you’re paying out the big, big, big contracts that they’re going to have to pay out to Draisaitl and Connor McDavid, Jordan Eberle’s money isn’t going to cover both.”

ELLIOTTE FRIEDMAN

“It’s been tough for Eberle. It’s just not working for him,” said a sympathetic Elliotte Friedman during a Monday morning radio hit on Calgary’s Sportsnet 960. “I’m sure at the end of the season, depending on what happens, they’re going to renew efforts to see if they can move him.

You can find more quotes at Chris Nichols’ website here.

I think you can add a few more names to that list like Benoit Pouliot and Mark Fayne for example.

With the Oilers having to re-sign Leon Draisaitl, Zack Kassian, Griffin Reinhart, and whole slew of AHL prospects, the room under the cap is going to be limited. Players will need to move and here’s the rub with some of the Oilers’ more prominent tradeable players:

RNH – The brass really like this kid and unlike other players on the team who underachieved this season, we saw Nugent-Hopkins elevate his gameplay in the playoffs. Now, he didn’t get score any goals but if I recall correctly, he was one of the leaders in shots on goal and if that’s not enough for you, then let’s recall the excellent defensive job he did in the San Jose series.

One of the things that happens in hockey is injuries and if you think back to when the Penguins won their cup with Crosby, Malkin, and Staal down the middle; that was a great advantage for them. They could stack one line and still be safe down the middle or if one of Crosby or Malkin needed a rest or was injured, Staal could step in. I, for one, think they made a massive mistake trading him but I digress.

This is important for the Oilers going forward. They need depth down the middle if just for the very reasons I mentioned in the example above. Yes, he’s $6M a year and that is a price that may just have him dealt anyhow but if he’s going up against 3rd line talent AND he picks up his game offensively, that’s gold! At least for one more season.

Possible Destinations: Montreal, Colorado, Vancouver, New Jersey, Brooklyn

Eberle – After Todd McLellan demoted him to the 4th line in the playoffs, sporadically, we saw a throwback Ebs. The one that dazzled us with his stickhandling and button hooks in the corners from earlier in his career but he also tossed in a dusting of grit.

That’s the one thing I noticed about Eberle in the playoffs. He took his pound of flesh when he was first in on the forecheck and I liked that. As for the regular season, yes, his overall game did get better. He sacrificed his offense for team defense and it sort of backfired.

Now, we’re all going to be pissed that this player who was supposed to be scoring didn’t and that is quite fair but he’s not going to bring the team a major asset back. His contract is simply too high and other GMs are going to look at the season he just had and take that as an indictment of his future performance. And for those reasons, he may just start the 2017 season an Edmonton Oiler.

Possible Destinations: Carolina, Vegas, Brooklyn, Vancouver, St.Louis, New Jersey

BENOIT POULIOT – This is another player whose effort I enjoyed during the playoffs. And it got better as the games wore on. I reckon he’d have done much better on the 1st or 2nd line beside McDavid or Draisaitl because his puck retrieval and possession was really standing out.

A lot of folks think we’ll see Pouliot taken in the expansion draft and it doesn’t take a lot of convincing to get behind that idea. My wish is for the Oilers to move him without eating salary and then re-acquiring him for the playoff run. He wouldn’t cost Edmonton anything and the expectations would be low.

Possible Destinations: Anaheim, Florida, Arizona, Toronto

MARK FAYNE – Buyout candidate no.1 in the NHL right now. 

Remember when it was between him or Griffin Reinhart in game 6 of the 2nd round? It makes me laugh when I think about how giddy the analytics types must’ve been getting with that news. How heartbroken they must’ve been when Reinhart stepped on the ice…

No team in their right mind will trade for Mark Fayne. In fact, the Oilers would probably have to pay a team to take him off of their hands. His contract is around $3.5M, so yeah, maybe Vegas takes a shot at him or Colorado but, to me at least, he gets the ol’ buyout and spends next season’s preseason on PTOs.

Possible Destination: Parts unknown… I think there’s a KHL team in Siberia, right? If he’s smart he goes to the team in Beijing and rakes in the cash! 

Other notable trade assets for the Oilers include Pat Maroon, Griffin Reinhart, Darnell Nurse, and Laurent Brossoit.

Toss the Oilers’ 1st round pick in there too. We know that Chiarelli would like to get a 2nd rounder and if there’s a team that doesn’t have a 1st round pick this season or has one but is farther down the line than the Oilers (22nd overall), there could be a deal made to acquire a player AND a 2nd rounder or move down and grab a late 1st round and 2nd round.

If I were to set a list of player targets for the Oilers to shoot for that might be available, I’d start here:

  • Matt Duchene (C/W) – Faceoff and possession #s are great. Speed Demon.
  • Travis Hamonic (RHD) – Adam Larsson, the Canadian version?
  • Matt Dumba (RHD) – Has a Cannon of a shot and is a hard-hitting mini-Scott Stevens.
  • Tyler Bozak (C) – Veteran leadership. Great on the faceoff.
  • Justin Faulk (RHD) – Offensive dman who can contribute on the PP.

Here’s some advice going into the offseason, don’t get attached to a player. Peter Chiarelli gives zero f*cks about moving a player the fans like and age isn’t an issue either. Just ask Taylor Hall and Tyler Seguin. So if the Oilers move a player like Pat Maroon, Zack Kassian, or Darnell Nurse, you’ve been forewarned.

Who would you like to see traded this summer from the Oilers? Let us know in the comments below!

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Helluva Run!

Back when the Oilers decided to go outside of “The Family” and hire Peter Chiarelli and Todd McLellan, I knew that the dark days were over. Gone were the rookie coaches and GMs. Gone were the days of trying to re-hash the great Oilers teams of the 80s. And gone were the unfulfilled promises of BOLD moves…

A new era was about to begin.

Now the first season of that era didn’t quite come out to a flying start. In fact, it fell flat on its face but there were signs of improvement. Signs we didn’t see previously.

But in the second season, when a more complete vision of the roster Peter Chiarelli had envisioned came to fruition. Bigger bodies were brought in and players with excellent leadership traits were acquired. Then magically, the injuries stopped, the defense came together, and the players started playing for each other.

The team became… A TEAM!!!

The signs of improvement were signs no more. What we were seeing were actually improvements! This was a team capable of competing AND winning in the Pacific Division! A perfect formula for making the playoffs, no?

Fast forward to yesterday, a gut-wrenching, heartbreaking game 7 loss to a more experienced Anaheim Ducks.

I wasn’t sad and I’m not down because the Oilers lost. I tried to explain to my wife that I was disappointed because I wouldn’t be able to watch my team play anymore. And then we started making plans to come back to Canada in October 🙂

I’m not going to harp on individual players or performances at this point. I probably saw the same thing as you and there’s no really point in bringing that back up. It was a tough game for everyone, neh! A tough series for everyone and I can’t wait until the re-match next year!

You see, the correct reaction to this is not to get down or angry, it’s to confront the challenge head on and be happy it’s there to give you something to aspire to overcome. Life, it’s funny that way. You think if you just surrounded yourself with happy and positive things that you yourseld would be happy and positive but in fact, the unhappy and negative experiences bring much more out of you.

REACTIONS FROM THE OILOGOSPHERE

“At the end of the day, we didn’t get the result we were after but that’s okay. For the first time in 10 seasons, the Edmonton Oilers were a damned good hockey team that put the league on notice for something other than draft lotteries” – Bagged Milk, Oilersnation

“The Oilers season may have come to a close, but this team went above and beyond and definitely built themselves a reputation”  -Sammi Silber, Oil On Whyte

“We needed this run. And I am sure as hell glad we got it.” -Bret Litke, The Oilers Rig

“I’ll just say this: that even though the Oilers did come a long way this year, the Taylor Hall trade was a joke.” – Who Cares? Copper and Blue

“We’ve been in plenty of dressing rooms where the dream has died over the years, but can recall very few where the leap from tonight to tomorrow was so easy to make. There are the ingredients of a Stanley Cup champion in this Oilers room now.” -Mark Spector, Sportsnet

“If you’re an Oiler fan who shelled out financially or emotionally for 10 years, and received so little in return, the team made a payment this spring. But these Oilers are on an instalment plan. You couldn’t get it all back at once.” – Dan Barnes, Edmonton Journal

“The Oilers have become contenders.” – Kurt Leavins, Cult of Hockey

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Oilers/Ducks G7: Will It be Heaven or Hell?

So here we are once again. For the 10th time in franchise history, the Edmonton Oilers are about to play a game seven. This time they are up against 2016/17 Pacific Division champs, the Anaheim Ducks.

Just to recap, the Oilers won the first two games in Anaheim, then lost the next three games in Edmonton and Anaheim and then returned home for game 6 to stave off elimination on the backs of a depleted defense and Leon Draisaitl’s legendary hat-trick.

Honestly, I’m so nervous for this game because Ryan Getzlaf has been ridiculous… The Ducks have really taken the game to the Oilers at times during this series and really exposed them. I also believe Anaheim will be extra motivated to break their own game seven curse.

I think that the Oilers are going to win, not because I’m a homer (even though I am sometimes) but because we’ve seen this team all season long do the things necessary to overcome their challenges. That and the Ducks haven’t been able to solve the three-headed dragon that is 97-29-93. Or is it a four-headed dragon with Mark Letestu having more points than Connor now?

Speaking of the anointed one. I reckon there are a lot of people out there in the Oil Country that believe Connor McDavid is going to have a breakout game. Well, to that I say, don’t hold your breath. It’d be a great story but I’m not sure we could will that one into existence.

McDavid is doing an excellent job diverting attention from Leon Draisaitl and as a result, Leon is dominating like nobody thought he could. I mean without Taylor Hall and McDavid, I was under the impression that he wouldn’t be able to do much. He was a complimentary forward for at least a couple of more seasons…

Slam your hand in the car door if you EVER thought that.

In fact, nobody should be surprised at how well Draisaitl is performing at such an important time of the year and that is because you’d have watched what he did for the Kelowna Rockets back in his last season of CHL hockey. I believe he won the Memorial Cup MVP in a losing cause… Also, did you even watch him at the World Cup of Hockey this summer? #Epic. Lastly, you’d have noticed what happened when Leon’s stats dried up this past season. He goes on scoring tears like nobody’s business.

Leon Draisaitl is the real deal folks!

All of that being said, this is exactly the kind of moment that Jordan Eberle’s legend was born in. If there’s a need and he comes up big tonight, I won’t be surprised. He’s got a history there.

Now, originally, I wanted to go back and re-visit each game 7 the Oilers had played in but Sean McIndoe (Down Goes Brown) beat me to it. If you haven’t read his post please visit it here because it’s amazing! 

So instead, I made this Youtube video for your viewing pleasure. It’s a little underwhelming but if you like it, please share it and subscribe to our channel!

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