Tag Archives: Charlie McAvoy

Oilers 2016 Draft Scenarios and is Charlie McAvoy the Next Ryan Suter?

First off, the last few weeks since the Oilers season ending have been pretty hectic for me. I’ve recently completed by Journalism Diploma from SAIT and on May 5th I interviewed for a position in SAIT’s Radio program. The interview went well, and I’m hopeful to get in. On top of all that, I have recently gotten back to work at my summer job working at a Calgary Golf Course.

None the less, as life starts to settle down here for a bit I am looking forward to getting some more articles done in the near future.


Now, we turn our attention to the NHL Entry Draft, where the Oilers will be holding the fourth overall selection.

As it stands right now, I am in the company of trying to trade the pick for some defensive help. It’s tough to get an idea where the other teams in the top 15 stand, and whether or not the Oilers will be able to find a partner.

In an ideal scenario, I would like to see the Oilers move pick fourth overall for a solid top-4 NHL defenceman (see: Hamonic, Barrie, Shattenkirk.)

Islanders: Likely to hold a pick around 20th overall, probably too far away to get an impact defensive prospect. Hamonic is still the best option. They would love to have a Tkachuk/Dubois to play in their top six.

Avs: Hold pick 10. I could envision the Avs wanting to draft a defenceman, as it appears Barrie be on his way out. By trading up to four, the Avs could get their choice of Dmen, as well as acquire other assets by trading Barrie to Edmonton. I could also see them taking a Tkachuk or Dubois. Could Pouliot be dangled?

Blues: They’re still in the playoffs as of today, and they will be picking somewhere in the 20+ range. Shattenkirk is just the type of top four guy we are looking for, and moving the fourth overall pick would be a great option should the Oilers be able to resign him.

Where am I going with this?

Well, I think the Oilers should be looking long and hard at moving the pick. I really do. The Oilers have such a dire need to replenish the defensive ranks that if the team could make a deal for Barrie + No. 10 overall we would be able to fill some gaps. More than likely, the Oilers would need to add in to balance a deal out. Maybe a player like Benoit Pouliot would be of interest?

Picking at 10 would give the Oilers the option of more than likely being able to land one of Chychrun, Juolevi, Sergachev, McAvoy, Bean or Fabbro.

I recently sat down and ID’d Boston Univ. RSD Charlie McAvoy as someone who would be a great option for the Oilers.

He is a 6’1, 211 lb freshman who has been compared in the past to Ryan Suter.

BLH pointed out to me that during last year’s World Junior Hockey Championships, he was referred to by commentators as playing a very similar style of game to Suter. According to Christian Roatis’ NHL Equivalency Calculator, Suter’s NHLE was 17.5 pts, while McAvoy’s is 20.5.

This past season, the freshman went 3-22-25 in 37 games

Here is how Boston University’s head coach David Quinn described McAvoy this past season:

Charlie has been an elite player for a long time. We expect him to make an immediate impact and play in all situations. He’s got great skills and vision and he’s a big, strong kid that skates well. One of the top freshman defensemen in college hockey. Source.

And from NHL Central Scouting’s David Gregory:

He has a real pro game to him. He’s a player who, because of his late birthdate (Dec. 21. 1997), has played with players already drafted at a very high level for a long time, but has shown the kind of game that really translates well to the pro game.

It may take [McAvoy] longer to get up to the level of speed of the college game, but knowing what I know about his game, I don’t think it’ll be that long. He’s going to be playing at a level that will allow NHL teams to say, ‘I can see where he’ll fit into our system and where he projects as a pro player.’ He will become a legitimate NHL defenseman. Source.

The work he put in this season helped launch him up the NHL Central Scouting North American rankings, going from ninth in NA ranked skaters in the midterm rankings up to sixth by the time they released their final rankings.

Interestingly enough, I feel that him being a Boston Terrier is going to draw Peter Chiarelli to him. He has a longstanding connection with the University team, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Oilers figure out a way to pick him up.


Drop me a line, and let me know what you think.

As always, I can be reached at on Twitter, or by email: zjlaing@gmail.com.

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The Golden Scenario

I was listening to Lowetide’s most recent Point/Counter-Point with Matthew Iwanyk today and the topic du jour was what to do with the 4th overall pick? The same old same olds were covered, ie: trade up, trade down, trade out to get a dman but Lowetide brought up a scenario to which Iwanyk called it “The Golden Scenario” and it went like this:

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  • Trade Jordan Eberle to the Islanders for Travis Hamonic
  • Sign Jason Demers
  • Trade down to the 7-9 range and pick one of Juolevi, Sergachev, or Chychrun, plus get a good forward prospect to replenish the cupboards in Bakersfield.

Personally I don’t think that Eberle is going to be enough to get Hamonic. That’s me though. I think the premium on defensemen is going to skyrocket this summer and the ask is going to be Nuge. Especially with Frans Nielsen being a UFA this summer and the Islanders not really having anybody in the system to take over Nielsen’s shut-down duties.

If you’re comfortable with signing Demers to a long-term deal over $5M per year, then we’re gold. But that’s going to be a tough contract in 2-3 years when Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, etc. start earning big dollars. And with the expansion draft coming as well. Is he a player you’d be comfortable with letting go in said 2-3 seasons if things got crowded as Ethan Bear developed or Caleb Jones?

The teams sitting at 7-9 are (tempting prospects in brackets):

  • Arizona – 7 (Christian Dvorak, Nick Merkley, Brendan Perlini)
  • Buffalo – 8 (…)
  • Montreal – 9 (Mike McCarron, Charles Hudon, Noah Juulsen, Artturi Lehkonen)

The Coyotes are about the only team I’m tempted with by their prospects. But I’m wondering if trading down even further and going for Ryan Suter 2.0 Charlie McAvoy would be the way to go though. The Oilers’ system is devoid of a number of quality RH dmen. Hence why we’re talking about trying to acquire Demers and Hamonic…

  • Colorado – 10 (Chris Bigras, Nicholas Meloche, AHL Co-ROY Mikko Rantanen)
  • New Jersey – 11 (Goalie Mackenzie Blackwood, Reid Boucher, Pavel Zacha, Steven Santini)
  • Ottawa – 12 (Colin White, Thomas Chabot)
  • Carolina – 13 (Sebastien Aho, Roland McKeown, Hadyn Fleury, Alex Nedeljkovic)

Can’t see anyway the Oilers would be getting a Rantanen or a Zacha here, Colin White would probably be a long shot too.

The way I see it, the Oilers are partially in the place they are because they drafted poorly after the first round or they traded their picks. Now if you take the option to draft completely off of the table then what is that doing for the future of the team. I’m of the belief that you MUST draft in the first two rounds every year, successfully albeit, so that the circle of life continues.

So I say trade down and get the McAvoy kid and a prospect like Aho, White, or pay a bit more and get Zacha. Let him (McAvoy) spend another season or two in the NCAA, sign him, send him to Bakersfield for 40 games and then bring him up if he’s developing according to plan.

Another Option

Not many people are talking about the possibility of trading up to grab Columbus’ pick. I think that’s because they believe that the fact that the Blue Jackets’ GM is Finnish and there’s a great Finnish player in Jesse Puljujarvi that will be sitting there at three for him to take but the reality of the situation is that the Blue Jackets have worked themselves into a shit situation with their horrible long-term contracts and are in dire need of some cap relief. Fact of the matter is, their GM won’t be in Columbus long enough to see his prized pick reach his potential. He’d be doing the next GM a huge favour. The only way he can get himself out of this pickle is to find a way to do some major open heart surgery on his roster.

Next season Columbus has $68M committed to 11 fwds, 7 dmen, and 3 goalies. If the salary cap goes to $74M next year they’ll have only $6M available to sign their RFAs, upgrade via free agency AND sign the 3rd overall pick. Not only that but the expansion draft is coming and correct me if I’m wrong but doesn’t each team have to protect the players with no-movement clauses? The Blue Jackets have 5 players who are veterans on long-term deals with NMC’s. Scott Hartnell, Fedor Tyutin, David Clarkson, Nick Foligno, and Brandon Dubinsky are all weighing Columbus down.

Edmonton could offer to swap picks, toss in Yakupov AND take on one of those contracts (ideally Hartnell’s because it’s the shortest and he’s been quite productive recently) OR if Columbus said no, then the Oilers could offer-sheet Seth Jones to something like $5.5M for 6 years.

Either way the Oilers could be getting something of huge value to them. How could Columbus even match that without screwing themselves over? Of course the proposal is all predicated upon them not being able to move the veterans mentioned above.

In the end here, how urgent is it for the Oilers to make the playoffs in 2016/17? Is it even a realistic possibility? Who would the Oilers even jump over to make the playoffs? What would happen if they shot themselves in the foot by trading the #4 overall and Eberle, picked up Hamonic and Demers and then got hit by the injury bug again or those players struggled off the bat?

When you try to force things to happen, they rarely happen the way you want them too or they do happen with some undesired side-effects in tow… I reckon we just have to enjoy the process. The process isn’t fun to go through but when it is complete, everyone (mostly) is happy they went through it.

What do you think? Would you prefer to go the route that Lowetide and Iwanyk talked about or trade up to #3 overall and screw over the Blue Jackets? Let me know in the comments below!

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