Tag Archives: The Hockey News

Edmonton Oilers: How Many Points Do You Think Each Oiler Will Have in 2019/20?

I’ve gone ahead and gather four different resources to preview the upcoming 2019/20 NHL Season for the Edmonton Oilers.

  • The Hockey News Fantasy Guide
  • Dobber Hockey Fantasy Guide
  • The Sports Forecaster NHL Preview and Fantasy Guide
  • McKeen’s 2019-20 Yearbook

So below I’m going to post what those outlets have predicted with regards to how the individual players on the Oilers will perform in terms of points. Not every player has projections and it changes from each publication to the next as you will see. My predictions will follow and underneath everything, I’ll try to explain my reasoning for my numbers.

Bon appetit!

Oilers Player The Hockey News Dobbers The Sports Forecaster McKeen’s BLH
Connor McDavid 121 116 115 126 91
Leon Draisaitl 100 99 101 108 95
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 61 62 62 66 65
James Neal 49 38 42 36 49
Darnell Nurse 34 46 27 47 28
Alex Chiasson 29 34 30 42 25
Oscar Klefbom 27 38 35 30 45
Zack Kassian 26 32 24 41 40
Evan Bouchard 25 21 31 9
Jujhar Khaira 23 23 26 20 25
Markus Granlund 22 23 30 28 24
Jesse Puljujarvi 22 28
Sam Gagner 20 22 26 39
Joakim Nygard 19 29 21 33 29
Matt Benning 18 22 22 15
Kailer Yamamoto 18 19 11
Adam Larsson 18 20 19 16 20
Caleb Jones 17 22 8 5
Kris Russell 15 17 21 13
Kyle Brodziak 14 15 13
Josh Archibald 14 23 26 28
Colby Cave 14 13 12
Gaetan Haas 23 24 19 21
Joel Persson 27 24
Ethan Bear 13
Tyler Benson 29 11

You might be shocked to see that I’ve got Leon Drasaitl outscoring Connor McDavid and that’s because I believe that McDavid’s knee isn’t as healthy as we’re being told. The way I’m reading things is that if everything was sorted, the team officials would say it and they’re not. They’re saying there’s a month left to evaluate and even after that is done, he still might not be ready… So if this PCL injury is at least a 6-month layoff, are we including rehab in that time frame? I just think he won’t be back to himself until the latter half of the year if at all this season.

Leon, on the other hand, is looking beastly by all reports… So I’m expecting a great season out of him and as a result, the same out of James Neal.

Nuge will be Nuge and get his 60-some points. He’s good for that but will it be on the wing or at center?

I am projecting a breakout season for Zack Kassian though. I like what I saw from him last year and I believe he can continue that effort. He might be McDavid’s only consistent linemate all year.

Remember when Mark Letestu was the Oilers triggerman on the PP? Well, that’s going to be Sam Gagner in 2019/20. He’s going to rack up some serious PP points this season in the same way Letestu did as the Oilers 4th line center when he played in Edmonton. Dave Tippett knows this player and he’ll know where to put him in order for him to succeed.

One problem the Oilers won’t have this year is scoring from the bottom-6. Adding Granlund, Archibald, and Haas to Gagner, Chiasson, and Khaira is going to pay dividends in my opinion. There’s a bit more speed, tenacity, and skill this year and I’m hoping a bit more patience on the coach’s part so that we don’t see the return of the McBlender.

When I heard that the Oilers were going to put Larsson and Nurse together I cringed… But then I thought to myself that perhaps this will lower the workload on Oscar Klefbom and MAYBE he’ll stay healthy this year. Do you remember the last year that he had a healthy season? Yes, the year they went to the playoffs and he scored 38 points that year in 82 games if you recall. He’s older now and a better player, so 45 points isn’t out of the question for me on Klef.

Oscar’s potential partner on defense might be his countryman, Joel Persson. He’s known as a player who can really move the puck. He’s been racking up points in the SHL for a few seasons now and he’s keen to show what he can do at the NHL level. I can’t really think of a better person to pair him up with to be honest and his point totals might reflect that.

Conversely, if Nurse is being groomed to be a shut-down defender, his offensive totals will suffer. Hence why I think he’ll return to being a sub-30 point defenseman.

The low point projections for the Bakersfield kids (Benson, Jones, Yamamoto, and Bouchard) are simply because I don’t think they’ll be spending much time in Edmonton. Ken Holland has set his team up so that there’s no pressure to bring along a young player before they’re ready.

What do you think? What are your point predictions for the Oilers in 2019/20? How bad are mine? Let us know in the comments below!

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Habs Chasing Oilers Centre and Comparing the Draft Rankings (ISS, TSN, Hockey Prospects, The Hockey News)

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According to a source employed close to Montreal, the Habs are targeting Oilers centre Leon Draisaitl.

Ummm. Sure.

Now it’s no mystery what position the Montreal Canadiens are going to try and beef up this summer. Bob Stauffer on yesterday’s Oilers Now thought that they would be going after Ryan O’Reilly and Paul Stastny and I think that would be a much better plan of attack than to try and pry Leon Draisaitl out of Edmonton.

For argument’s sake, what would it take for you to trade Draisaitl to Montreal? For me, I can tell you it’d have to include a package that included 4 of the following,

  • 2018 1st rounder
  • 2019 1st rounder
  • Brendan Gallagher
  • Victor Mete
  • Noah Juulsen

That’s just me mind you. I won’t trade Leon Draisaitl for Erik Karlsson. So that should be enough to tell you how highly I value the big German.

A DIFFERENT OILERS/HABS PROPOSAL

On Lowetide’s show yesterday morning Pierre LeBrun said that the Habs were looking for a top-4 left-handed defenseman.

Oscar Klefbom, come on down!

Would you be willing to move Oscar Klefbom to the Habs for Victor Mete and Nikita Scherbak? Thus saving some space on the cap whilst adding young talent on D and on the wing creating a bit more depth.

OR

Would you prefer to move Klefbom for Brendan Gallager straight across?

I’m sure some smartass out there is going to say neither and that’s fine. I’m just trying to create some banter.

COMPARING DRAFT RANKINGS

In the last seven days, I’ve managed to purchase the draft guides from The Hockey News, ISS  (International Scouting Services), and HockeyProspects.com (The Black Book) and I can tell you that I like each and every one but for different reasons.

The Hockey News ($6.99) – I like it because it’s visually pleasing. It offers a lot of articles and the scouting reports aren’t too long. Also covers a few prospects from the next two drafts briefly. I’m a big fan of comparables and each player up to a certain number is given one be it an NHL player comp or a positional/depth comp. Only 100 profiles though…

ISS ($10) – This is my first year purchasing the ISS draft guide and what I noticed off the bat was it was quite easy to read. Meaning the words weren’t too small that I had to get up close to read them whereas The Hockey News’ guide, the words were a tad tiny to try and fit all the reports in. This guide included a 1st round mock draft, risers/sleepers, and a top-5 best/worst of different attributes like “stay-at-home dmen”, “puck protection”, “underrated/overrated”. I also liked how they graded different skills on every player. Things like competitiveness, hockey IQ, and physical play were shown on a scale from below-average to elite. The downside to this is that the reports only to 110 players including goalies but the rankings go to 200. They also go into team draft histories five years deep.

THE BLACK BOOK ($50) – This is THE most in-depth draft guide available. It’s not flashy by any means as it’s all text. No mock drafts, no top-5 lists, it’s straight to business but it’s huge. 667 pages deep to be more specific. The one thing that Hockey Prospects does that I find rad is they include the game reports at the end so you can read what the scouts had to say about a specific player in a specific game. Another thing that they give the reader is actual quotes from scouts be they Hockey Prospect scouts or NHL scouts. Lastly, there’s one thing that annoys me about this guide, the scouting reports go in alphabetical order instead of the order of their ranking.

So depending on what kind of draft nut you are and how much money you’re willing to spend, all three I’d recommend.

I just wanted to give you that preface before getting into what these publications have the Oilers taking with their draft picks. Now, McKenzie and The Hockey News only have up three rounds of players to view and ISS and the Black Book have all 7 rounds available. Therefore two out of the four guides will allow us to see a bit more than the other two.

So let’s get into this. 

The Oilers have the following selections in the upcoming draft,

  • 10th
  • 40th
  • 71st
  • 133rd
  • 164th
  • 195th

As you can see there’s a jump from 71st to 133rd, the 4th rounder belongs to Montreal due to the Al Montoya trade.

Below are the players that each of the draft guides above PLUS Bob McKenzie has in those spots where the Oilers will be drafting.

Selection THN Bob McKenzie ISS Hockey Prospects
10 Ty Smith (LD) Adam Boqvist (RD) Joe Veleno (C) Evan Bouchard (RD)
40 Adam Ginning (LD) Jacob Olofsson (C) Danila Galenyuk (LD) Jake Wise (C)
71 Egor Sokolov (LW) Allan McShane (C) Kody Clark (RW) Milos Roman (C)
133 Billy Moskal (C) Erik Portillo (G)
164 Dan Kowalczyk (LD) Blade Jenkins (LW)
195 Linus Nyman (RW) Isaac Johnson (RW)

How wide open is that? No overlap whatsoever eh? This draft is going to be a lot of fun!

If you had to pick one, which group would you go with?

Personally, I’m drawn to how McKenzie’s is starting. I’m real high on Boqvist and I hear good things about Olofsson. McShane is not a player I’m familiar with but Hockey Prospects have him as an undersized playmaker with a quick release and good anticipation defensively.

But that Hockey Prospects group has some nice names in there. I’d have no issues if the Oilers selected Bouchard at all. A right-handed dman who has been labeled as one of the best passers in the draft is fine with me. Jake Wise is a name that has climbed up the rankings over the year. He’s a guy with great vision and passing skills. A very hard worker and he’s a 200ft player. Milos Roman is a name I’ve read now and then online and from what I can gather his skating is deceptively good. He’s a very cerbral player and he’s a very responsible player at both ends of the ice.

Your thoughts?

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