Tag Archives: Brandon Pirri

Edmonton Oilers: Finding One Goalie, Three Forwards, and One Defenseman PLUS BLH’s Top 50 2019 Draft Prospects

Oilers Now host Bob Stauffer recently tweeted out what he felt like the Oilers would be adding going into the 2019/20 season under the context of an $81.5M-$82.5M salary cap.

  • Sign 1B goalie who can start 30-35 games ($1.5M-$2.5M).
  • Add one top-9 forward ($2.5M-$3.5M).
  • Bring in two forwards for the bottom-6 ($1M or less).
  • Get creative opening up a couple of spots on defense for Caleb Jones, William Lagesson, Ethan Bear, and/or Joel Persson.

Well if I had to guess for each one of the suggestions above and taking into consideration Ken Holland’s relationships created through his time in Detroit, I would say that there’s a really solid chance that he’s going to be able to spruce up the Oilers roster in short order.

THE 1B GOALIE

I really liked Petr Mrazek’s season for Carolina and I believe there’s still a lot of game left in the 27-year-old. He played 40 games and 2.39 GAA and a .914 save percentage. If the Oilers are looking for a guy who’ll be able to play a solid chunk of the season, then Mrazek is their man. I think it would be tough to say if playing for Holland in Detroit was a pro or a con at this point. He was traded away from the Red Wings after all, but if anybody knew this guy through and through, it’d be Holland.

If the Oilers are looking for a more veteran presence here, Maybe Mike Smith. As much as I disliked him in Arizona and Calgary, he’s a pretty ornery goalie who doesn’t take any shit and he was the only Flame to show up in their brief playoff appearance this past season. I also like how he can play the puck, that said, it does come back to bite him in the butt from time to time.

THE TOP-9 FORWARD

Joonas Donskoi is my pick here. He’s the perfect middle-6 option for the Oilers. He’s fast, he can play both ways, and he’s seemingly good for around 30-40pts a year. He can skate quite well and he will go to the dirty areas. I also happen to believe that he’d be a great help to Jesse Puljujarvi and be able to mentor him a bit in the event that Pulju gives this new regime a chance. I’d reckon he’ll command close to $3M per year depending on the term length.

If the Oilers were to open up some cap space with a trade or two, I think Gustav Nyquist and Mats Zuccarello would most definitely be in their sights. I do see them demanding closer to the same dollar value and term as Jordan Eberle mind you. So would you be satisfied paying either $5.5M for five years?

Now if we come back down a bit, then I see Brett Connolly and Michael Ferland in the $4M-ish camp. Maybe Connolly will try to really bank on that career year of his and Ferland might get a bit more considering the narrative set from this year’s Stanley Cup Final. That being teams need to have tough mobile forwards to win.

And if we come right down, Alex Chiasson shouldn’t be commanding more than $2.5M nor can I see Richard Panik or Thomas Vanek charging any higher.

Some wildcards here might be Wayne Simmonds, Marcus Johansson, and Ryan Dzingel. Simmonds has really slowed down in recent years. His point totals have been decreasing and his PIMS increasing. Maybe that’s born out of frustration, but can you think of a GM that would pay him more than $4M given the unsure status of the cap and the expansion draft coming? He’s become a bit of an injury concern to boot.

Johansson was outstanding for the Bruins in the playoffs I found. His speed and puckhandling made him a dangerous target for Boston. Unfortunately, his health has been a major concern for the last two years and thus his production has dropped. What would you pay someone with a recent history like that?

As for Dzingel, I think he might be happy sticking in Columbus. He played college hockey there and with Artemi Panarin leaving, there’s pretty much a spot there for the taking. But in the case that he wants to hit the open market and see what’s out there, his speed and tenacity would be very welcome on the Oilers. Is he going to price himself out of Edmonton’s range though? Might be another guy looking at $5.5M a year.

THE TWO BOTTOM-6 FORWARDS

Daniel Carr has been on the Oilers radar for a long time. He’s basically a Brendan Gallagher-lite. Same playing style and traits but to a lesser degree. He spent the year in the AHL last season but he lit it up with 71pts in 52 games. He’s too good for that league and Edmonton could use him in their bottom-6. He’s a local lad too, so that might help getting him in under a million bucks.

Another player who spent the year in the Vegas Golden Knights organization, Brandon Pirri, would be a nice fit for Edmonton’s bottom-6. He scores wherever he goes but he can never stick. Now I’m not sure if that’s an attitude thing or what, but he produces and the Oilers need depth scoring. Had 12 goals in 31 games for Vegas last year.

Brandon Tanev piled up 29pts in 80 games for Winnipeg in 2018/19 while averaging around 14 minutes a game. 15 of those points were goals. Tanev plays a very aggressive game and he’s both fast and quick. Quite the waterbug he is. He won’t be signing for $1M but if the Oilers were interested, I wonder if he’d sign for Kassian money (a shade under $2M).

Other options here might be Adrian Kempe, who gave the Oilers fits last season with his tenacity and smart play down low. Garnet Hathaway would add some toughness to the bottom-6 IF Edmonton were looking for that, and Kenny Agostino kind of came out of nowhere to score 24pts in NJ/MTL last year. He’s got some speed to his game too.

The wildcard in all of this is Patrik Berglund. Yes, he quit the Sabres last year, turned down a crapload of cash to return home, but he says he’s ready to return to the NHL. At 31 years old, do you think he’s done as an NHLer? Would he be a decent 3rd line center?

THE DEFENSE

My feeling here is that Kris Russell and Matt Benning will be traded to open up that right side for Joel Persson and Caleb Jones. I get that Jones isn’t a right-shot defender, but he played that side almost all season last year in Bakersfield as he was pair with Mattias Ekholm clone, William Lagesson.

Getting back to Russell, no question, he’s not in the same bracket as Justin Braun, Matt Niskanen, or Radko Gudas, but he’s a wanted man in the NHL. His teammates love him wherever he goes and he’s well respected by coaches across the league.

Now if Braun can be moved for a couple of draft picks, I would think Russell could too (not a 2nd and a 3rd) and that would really create some wiggle room for Holland and co. They’ve got just over $9M in cap room right now and if they could move him without taking salary back that would take them to around $13M.

On the other hand and to make this a bit bigger of a deal, yesterday on Lowetide’s show, Tom Gazzola and Tyler Yaremchuk were discussing the possibility of moving Darnell Nurse for a right-shot top-4 defender and then using Sekera on the 2nd pair. It’s not a bad idea depending on who the dman coming back is… Ideally, you’d want someone who puts up as much as or more offense at evens than Nurse AND is a threat on the powerplay.

People aren’t going to like this suggestion, but what about Rasmus Ristolainen? His 65 points with the man advantage over the past three seasons has him tied with the $11M-man Erik Karlsson and that total has him above other all-star defenders like Kris Letang, John Klingberg, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Morgan Reilly, and Drew Doughty.

I’ve always liked this player because he’s massive, he’s tough, and he’s got a Cannon the likes Edmonton hasn’t seen since Sheldon Souray was around. That said, he’s not as proficient a scorer at evens as Nurse (60pts to Risto’s 51 in the past three years). I imagine folks will point to his fancy stats and complain as well, but it doesn’t matter which metric you use, I can most likely show you someone you might consider to be a much better defender who has similarly poor numbers there too.

Ristolainen is tied down for another three seasons at $5.4M per and if he’s putting up around the same stats as Nurse but better on the PP and the Oilers have players to fill in for Darnell, what’s the problem? Can you tell me that Darnell Nurse isn’t going to be asking for around $7M on a long-term deal next summer? If so, what number do you think he’ll sign for and do you think he’ll have earned that?

In three seasons, if it’s not working out, the Oilers could move Ristolainen if need be. It’d be easier due to his handedness and his PP production AND it would give the Oilers more time to develop their bluechip prospect, Evan Bouchard.

BLH’S TOP-50 2019 NHL DRAFT PROSPECTS

After extensive research and the use of around five draft guides this year, this is my list of 50 prospects for the upcoming 2019 NHL Entry Draft.

I dinged guys for work ethic issues or consistency problems. Players that were poor skaters were ranked lower if they didn’t have much else they could bring to the ice. If a player was considered a perimeter player, that didn’t help their case either. I do take size into consideration a bit. I found that there is a massive influx of sub-6-foot players eligible for the draft and that if everything was equal, I’d probably still take the bigger player.

Conversely, skaters who had a high work ethic and those that were outstanding skaters were ranked higher. I feel that skating is of the utmost importance with regards to the direction of hockey now. I’m also a fan of players who will play a bit old-school, meaning they aren’t afraid of the rough stuff and will get their noses dirty. Defensive IQ is as important to me as offensive IQ as well.

But as it is every year, sometimes a player is just so good at one thing, it overshadows his flaws, like Kirby Dach (consistency/work ethic) or Trevor Zegras (High risk/selfish). These players are ridiculously skilled and should be taken in the first seven picks I imagine, but for me, they drop a little bit. Whereas Matthew Boldy and Vasili Podkolzin probably aren’t as skilled as Dach and Zegras but they are much smarter players at both ends of the rink and if their offense dries up, they can still be impactful to the game.

The players in bold are where the Edmonton Oilers would be selecting.

  1. Jack Hughes – C – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  2. Kappo Kakko – RW – TPS (SM-Liiga)
  3. Bowen Byram – LHD – Vancouver (WHL)
  4. Alex Turcotte – C – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  5. Matthew Boldy – LW – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  6. Vasili Podkolzin – RW – SKA-Neva (VHL)
  7. Cole Caufield – RW – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  8. Alex Newhook – C – Victoria (BCHL)
  9. Kirby Dach – C – Saskatoon (WHL)
  10. Trevor Zegras – C – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  11. Dylan Cozens – C – Lethbridge (WHL)
  12. Peyton Krebs – C – Kootenay (WHL)
  13. Spencer Knight – G – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  14. Raphael Lavoie – C – Halifax (QMJHL)
  15. Cam York – LHD – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  16. Viktor Soderstrom – RHD – Brynas (SHL)
  17. Philip Broberg – LHD – AIK (Allsvenskan)
  18. Pavel Dorofeyev -LW – Magnitogorsk (KHL)
  19. Thomas Harley – LHD – Mississauga (OHL)
  20. Simon Holmstrom – RW – HV71 J20 (Superelit)
  21. Bobby Brink – RW – Sioux City (USHL)
  22. Jakob Pelletier – LW – Moncton (QMJHL)
  23. Mortiz Seider – RHD – Mannheim (DEL)
  24. Nils Hoglander – LW – Rogle (SHL)
  25. Tobias Bjornfot – LHD – Djurgardens J20 (Superelit)
  26. Lassi Thomson – RHD – Kelowna (WHL)
  27. Ryan Suzuki – C – Barrie (OHL)
  28. Matthew Robertson – LHD – Edmonton (WHL)
  29. Phil Tomasino – C – Niagara (OHL)
  30. Connor McMichael – C – London (OHL)
  31. Ville Heinola – LHD – Luuko (SM-Liiga)
  32. John Beecher – C – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  33. Samuel Poulin – RW – Sherbrooke (QMJHL)
  34. Arthur Kaliyev – RW – Hamilton (OHL)
  35. Vladislav Kolyachonok – LHD – Flint (OHL)
  36. Patrik Puistola – RW – Tappara U20 (Jr. A SM-Liiga)
  37. Robert Mastrosimone – LW – Chicago (USHL)
  38. Albin Grewe – RW – Djurgardens U20 (Superelit)
  39. Semyon Chistyakov – LHD – Tolpar (MHL)
  40. Brayden Tracey – LW – Moose Jaw (WHL)
  41. Yegor Afanseyev – LW – Muskegon (USHL)
  42. Nolan Foote – LW – Kelowna (WHL)
  43. Anttoni Honka – RHD – Jukurit (SM-Liiga)
  44. Ryan Johnson – LHD – Sioux Falls (USHL)
  45. Nic Robertson – LW – Peterborough (OHL)
  46. Ilya Nikolaev – C – Loko Yaroslav (MHL)
  47. Jamieson Rees – C – Sarnia
  48. Jackson Lacombe – LHD – Shattuck (MIN- HS)
  49. Shante Pinto – C – Tri-City (USHL)
  50. Ethan Keppen – LW – Flint (OHL)

Questionable Sources

Well there you have it, Horcoff isn’t coming to Edmonton on a PTO and Gryba is still on the market. Brandon Pirri has signed in New York and if things follow the same path, Raffi Torres will still be a UFA by the time the 2016/17 NHL season starts.

All of the things I have tossed out there in the last week or so have passed without happening and I feel bad for you the reader but unfortunately that’s how she goes. Not everything I’m told comes to fruition, in fact very little of it comes true. I don’t put tons of concern into that though because, to be honest, it’s no skin off of my back. I don’t write for anybody but myself if we’re being completely frank.

I’m stoked that you will come to our site here and read what we have to say and comment on it but it’s really no different that heading over to the water cooler or coffee machine at work and having a chat about the Oilers.

That being said, Bob Stauffer mentioned on Oilers Now! that Matt Benning is signing somewhere (talked about 4 or 5 other teams being in the mix but tossed EDM and LA out specifically) by tomorrow afternoon and to keep an eye on Michael Stone.

I asked my source about Stone and it said that the Oilers are going to watch the Stone situation “loosely”. I guess that means they’ll be keeping an eye on him to see if he re-signs with the club or is shopped.

Stone is coming off of knee surgery and recently signed a 1-year deal with $4M according to Capfriendly.com

 

Now to the Main Attraction!

The title of the post is called “Questionable Sources” because of this post by Matt Henderson.

“It had been reported by some questionable sources that the Oilers were relatively close to signing veteran and former Captain Shawn Horcoff to a PTO. At the same time those questionable sources also suggest that Gryba was close to signing a PTO with the team.”

Now, as far as I know there were three accounts on Twitter speaking to one or both of the Horcoff/Gryba PTO rumours.

Kurt is a good guy. we’ve had a few chats on Twitter in the past. He’s not known to be the breaker of Oilers’ news per se but a wonderful writer over at Oil on Whyte nonetheless.

https://twitter.com/Boscorelli_HN/status/765771283376242689

This account belongs to Joshua Marshall I believe (E3), and it’s the one that put out the Yakupov for Petrovic rumours earlier this summer. I’m of the belief that Marshall is a good friend of Petrovic’s and that rumour might’ve been a practical joke.

I’ve never met this bloke before, seen his posts in the Edmonton Oilers Fans page on Facebook a few times, but a chance to talk to him, I have not had. 3PD tells me he’s good sh*t though.

Personally I have no problem with folks claiming they have an inside track because I know the odds of that being true or not. I think the fact of the matter is that it’s entertainment, we live in a gossip culture and everybody wants to know what’s going on behind the curtain. It drives hits to websites and followers to Twitter accounts. If you’re fortunate to work for a major media player, those hits and followers turn into $$$.

So maybe that’s the motivation for folks to have these rumor accounts? Maybe there’s a pipedream for some bloggers that believe that if they post these things, they’ll get a job with a team or a media conglomerate. I don’t know.

I write because it’s fun. If something comes of it, great! If nothing, that’s okay too!

The problem I do have is when writers like Henderson use phrases like “Questionable Sources” when everyone knows who the bloody source is. We all drink from the same watering hole, do we not? It’s a dick move to be honest. Either you say who it is or you don’t write it.

I don’t know, maybe my ego is so big that I couldn’t fathom anyone talking about anything other than myself or maybe Henderson is afraid to link to my post where I wrote:

“I’ve been told there’s a chance that Shawn Horcoff and Eric Gryba will be offered a chance to make the 2016/17 Edmonton Oilers if they choose to accept a PTO.”

Then again maybe we don’t know but you can take a pretty educated guess if you’re paying attention.

So Henderson writes,

“…the Oilers were relatively close to signing veteran and former Captain Shawn Horcoff to a PTO. At the same time those questionable sources also suggest that Gryba was close to signing a PTO with the team.”

And I write that,

“there’s a chance…”

Maybe my post wasn’t the source but there’s a chance…

Well anyways, that Matt Henderson post on Hockeybuzz is a pretty big ego trip of its own in my opinion.

“I make an effort not to “Break” news unless I have a very good reason to believe I have good information. To date, it has happened once. It was Jeff Petry’s contract negotiation status…

I wouldn’t even consider stating that Horcoff and Gryba were close to signing PTOs without having heard that from a legitimate source.”

Well good for Matty. What a saint.

With regards to that break on Jeff Petry’s contract negotiations, I was talking to the exact same contact that Henderson was but I was told not to say anything online about it. So either in my naivety or my stupidity, the contact went to Henderson with the info and Matt posted it on Oilersnation and was on Lowetide’s show talking about it.

I’ve often found it weird that this person didn’t go to Jason Gregor, Lowetide, or a guy like Ryan Rishaug with the information. Why go to a guy that calls himself Beer League Hero or Matt Henderson?

Anyways, the tidbits I get told are things I feel I should share with you because I feel like you’d like to know. I’m not afraid to share them with you because, like I said above, it’s no skin off of my back and we don’t sell more shirts because of it.

My source trusts me and I trust it.

You should never be afraid to do or say something in fear of what others will think or say. Within reason of course.

Matt Henderson is a wonderful Oilers blogger, really. I have no qualms with him on a personal level. He’s great on Twitter and his spots on Reid Wilkins’ show are quite entertaining. If you’re not reading his posts on Hockeybuzz or Oilersnation, you really should be.

To conclude, I’m a bit bent about his post but what Mr.Henderson wrote is not wrong at all. The source of the information in his blog, be it my post or another, IS questionable. It should be.

But shouldn’t everything be questionable? Especially the shirts below!

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Scoring Help for the Bottom Six on Its way?

I’ve got it on pretty good authority that the Oilers are closing in on Brandon Pirri. This isn’t news to me and it shouldn’t be to you either if you’ve been following the blog as I’ve been getting regular updates on the Pirri situation for sometime now. He wants to join the Oilers and the Oilers would like him to sign with them. What that means for Edmonton’s bottom 6 is that somebody is either moving soon or that a guy like Jesse Puljujarvi won’t be starting the year in Edmonton. Which in my opinion is a wonderful option.

Another great option going into training camp is that IF Pirri does in fact get signed by the Oilers, there’ll be positional competition and nobody’s spot will be guaranteed apart from maybe Draisaitl and Pouliot. I say Pouliot because we know that Maroon tends to lack production unless he’s put on a line with high-end skill like a McDavid or a Getzlaf. Benny Poo would offer the veteran-like leadership and fancy stats a good third line requires.

L3: Pouliot-Draisaitl-Pirri
L4: Hendricks-Letestu-Kassian
L5: Caggiula-Lander-Pakarinen
L6: Sallinen-Khaira-Puljujarvi

I asked G Money to do a little analysis on Pirri and as usual he went beyond the required to provide you with this little snapshot of the unrestricted free agent. Enjoy!

A Quick Look at Brandon Pirri

As you saw in my snapshot of Antoine Vermette, when assessing players with whom I’m not familiar, I look at four areas:

  1. All situations boxcars and even strength shot metrics
  2. Context 1: Teammates
  3. Context 2: Competition
  4. Context 3: Usage

*Data and visualization in this analysis was sourced from hockey-reference.com, hockeydb.com, corsica.hockey, hockeyviz.com, and my own scripts which scrape data directly from the NHL play by play sheets.

Boxcars and Shot Metrics

In 2015, Pirri played 61 games for Anaheim and Florida, scoring 14 goals and 15 assists for 29 points (9 goals and 7 apples at even strength).

Averaging just shy of 12 EV minutes a game, his points/60 (which accounts for varying time on ice) came in at 1.33, which is a decent number for a third liner, putting him in line with guys like Andrew Shaw and Erik Condra.

As with Vermette, who also scored well, Pirri’s achilles heel is his shot metrics – at 47.8%, he gets outshot badly considering he played on two decent possession teams.

I’m also a big fan of ‘danger adjusted’ metrics that incorporate shot location and shot type. In this case, I’m looking at corsica.hockey’s xGF (expected goals) metric. Pirri unfortunately fares even worse here, coming in at 41.1%. His poor shot metrics are not a fluke – he’s not only getting outshot, but he’s getting outchanced in a big way.

Was it him, or his circumstances?

Context 1 – Teammates

To get a sense of his impact on teammates, I like to use WithOut you With You, or WOWY, looking at a player’s most common forward and defensive matches.

Because he split time between teams, I’m going to focus on his time with Florida, where he played the majority of the season.

His most common D partners were Ekblad & Campbell, with nearly identical TOI. In both cases, with those pairings Pirri was able to reach respectable (50%+) possession. Without them, he was not good, but he was also playing with some poor D partners when he wasn’t with E&C.

In particular, Pirri got absolutely wrecked when partnered with Mitchell and Gudbrandson (I’m happy Mr. Gud is now playing in the PacDiv for the beloved Canooks).

Conversely, E&C do about as well away from Pirri as they do with him, so he’s not dragging them down. From that, we can come to one positive conclusion: backed by decent defensemen, Pirri may not be as bad shots-wise as his raw numbers might indicate.

For forwards, Pirri’s most common linemates appeared to be Bjugstad and Shaw. With Bjugstad, the numbers with/without for both players were relatively close.

With Shaw, their numbers together were poor – but Pirri improved markedly away from Shaw, while Shaw declined away from Pirri. Shaw appears to be something of an anchor.

And from that we can draw a second positive point – Pirri’s numbers, though poor, may be compromised by one (or more) of his common linemates. As with defensemen, he may do OK with more capable players.

You can see this overall effect by using Pirri’s hockeyviz.com WOWY chart. The broad ‘mix’ of red and black all around Pirri suggest that his teammates influence Pirri up or down, rather than the other way round.

He isn’t consistently dragging people down, nor is he dragging them up. Don’t expect him to be the driver on a line, but give him decent teammates and it appears he can generally hold his own.

Context 2 – Competition

Here I rely on the WoodMoney numbers developed by Darcy McLeod (@Woodguy55) and I.

The TOI breakdown confirms that Pirri is playing a third/fourth line role, with 70% of his time against the middle and bottom of the other team’s roster.

His numbers show that he’s not really holding his own against any of those tiers, but based on the earlier WOWY data, I would guess that he’s stuck with some duds a lot of the time, and that’s dragging him down, regardless of competition level.

Context 3 – Zone starts and faceoffs

Pirri’s zone starts are relatively neutral, a shade over 50%. However, his true zone starts – where his coach has sent him out to start shift – are closer to 60%. So we’re seeing a player who is relatively sheltered by his coach(es).

That’s the bad news – his zone starts are favourable, making his poor possession numbers look worse in context.

His faceoff numbers are also poor at 46.8% (Florida) and just 43.6% career. He was sent out for just two faceoffs in 9 games for Anaheim.

His biggest value to the Oilers may be in playing the wing, but providing depth at centre in case of injury.

Summary

So what we have is a player who

  • scores decently for a third liner
  • has poor possession numbers, especially in light of sheltered zone starts and modest competition … BUT!
  • those possession numbers are heavily influenced by teammates
  • it appears he can play effectively with good teammates
  • but he’ll get dragged into the dirt by bad teammates

The teammate effect is where Pirri differs most from Vermette. Also age. At 25, he should have at least 3 to 5 more good years left.

Would I hire him?

He’s a respectable third line scorer.

He’s in the prime of his career.

His shot metrics this year were poor, but his career possession numbers (50.4%) are better, and a down year may mean it’s possible to get him at a discount.

If we can get him at a third line price, he might be a good pickup. He’s likely a scoring upgrade on Lander and probably no worse at possession than Letestu … and if he’s taking Korpikoski’s roster spot – hallelujah.

A decent bet if you can get him at the right price.

Buy low for a change, Chiarelli!

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Oilers Waiting on Avalanche?

Tyson Barrie, Av or Oiler by October?

As we sit in our comfy chairs awaiting the next move that will solidify the Edmonton Oilers roster a tad more, we’re forced to speculate. And so today I want to chat a bit about the rumblings I’ve heard regarding some roster moves that could be in the works.

FOREWARNING

*As I say with almost every post like this, believe me or not, it’s up to you. I’m not Dreger, McKenzie, Rishaug, or Stauffer for that matter. I’ll tell you what I hear and you can take that as bullshit or you can believe it. It’s no skin off my ass either way. But don’t be rude about what you read. That’s all that I ask from you as a reader.

I write, you read.*

HURRY UP BURNABY JOE!

The title of the post gives it away but it’s my belief that the Oilers are biding their time and waiting on the results of the Tyson Barrie arbitration hearing which will take place on July 29th.

Nothing new here but it looks like the Avs are in for the same culture shifting move that the Oilers themselves took part in when they traded Taylor Hall to the Devils for Adam Larsson. Speculation has calmed down as of late but right around the draft Gabriel Landeskog and Matt Duchene were thought to be available.

Now nothing has been released to say that aren’t still on the block and there’s nothing I’d love more than to see two of Landeskog, Duchene, or Barrie become Oilers but that’d be a deal done in my dreams. Besides, could you see the Oilers parting with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Jordan Eberle, and/or Leon Draisaitl to get, say, Barrie and Duchene or Barrie and Landeskog?

But an Eberle for Barrie deal could very well be on the table depending on the outcome of said hearing.

MINOR MOVES AND THE DEFENSE

Brandon Pirri is still on the Oilers radar and from my understanding he’s got the Oilers on his radar as well but this is a move that would surely be dependent on Edmonton moving Yakupov.

  • Earlier this week we talked about a deal that would send Yak to Florida for right-handed dman Alex Petrovic. This was quickly quashed by some pretty big names in the media and very quickly I might add (almost too quickly to not have a modicum of truth to it).
  • Pirri has amassed 80 points in 166 games played. Not bad for a guy that can’t seem to find a permanent home the last three years and is yet to be signed this offseason.
  • Brandon Pirri has been mentioned by Bob Stauffer in the past on his show, so his name should be of no real surprise to those following the Oilers closely.

I’ll tell you why I think this would be a good fit for the Oilers.

  • Cheap, bonus-laden contract.

    Pirri wants to find a place to put his roots down in. He can score at the NHL level, there’s no doubt about that but after playing on three teams (Chicago, Anaheim, and Florida) in three years, the 25-year old will be looking for something solid, something the Oilers can offer.

  • He can float in the middle six and contribute on the PP.
  • He’s got a history that tells us he can produce.
  • He’s averaged 135 shots over the last two years and a 13.15% shooting percentage. Compare that with Yakupov, whose had an average of 159 shots and a shooting percentage of 6.8% over the last two years… Efficiency leans towards the former 2nd round pick in 2009 on this one.
    • The caveat to those stats is that in 2014/15 Pirri put up 22 goals in 49 games with Florida and had a 15.4% shooting percentage… That’s extremely high. His career shooting % is 13.6.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QmWkd0u67ss

Griffin Reinhart and Darnell Nurse to start the year in Bakersfield.

  • This would be a rare smart move on the Oilers behalf. Neither dman are ready for the pro game and putting them in the position to not only be good players but to dominate is something I am definitely in favour of.

James Wisniewski is still an option for the Oilers.

  • The Oilers are using Wisniewski as their backup plan in case any deal with Barrie falls through. I’ve been told it’s down to term not money.

*NEW* Anton Lander is being actively shopped.

  • I’m not sure how the Oilers could ever think they’ll get any more for him that Yakupov right now. Lander has completely fallen off of the cliff and if anything he’s suited for a 4th line role on the wing. If he was right-handed this might be a different story but would he pass through waivers another time? If so, the Oilers might want to explore the European loan route as they did a couple of seasons ago with Jesse Joensuu

    *No reason to get skeptical or anything but the Oiulers have not had great success with players from Finland named Jesse… Niinimaki, Joensuu… I hope to the hockey gords that Puljujarvi is different…*

    Don’t get me wrong, I really like Anton Lander because he works his ass off, unfortunately it’s not translating. I wish it would because I’d hate to see him go to a team like Detroit and find his mojo again because you gotta wonder if he’s still got the potential to be a Frans Nielsen-type? He’s not THAT old.

*Last One* Remember when Jim Matheson asked Peter Chiarelli about Yakupov’s trade request at the draft and PC told him there was no trade request from Yak or his agent? A lot of us wondered what Chiarelli was talking about… Well, as it turns out and from what I’ve been told, there’s something to it.

Nail might’ve been upset at not getting top 6 minutes…

  • To that I say, he should’ve performed better on the ice and in the practices.
  • I’m going to butcher the fack out of this quote but a player of some importance (and forgive me for not remembering who) once said that he got paid to practice and games were just the cherry on top.

FURTHER TO THAT…

The Oilers have about $9 million left in cap space. Would they add both Wizniewski AND Barrie if it were possible? Could they? How would that affect Mark Fayne? One would think that he’d be moved ASAP, right? His contract you couldn’t have sitting in the pressbox nor would you want to.

But having Larsson, Barrie, and Wisniewski would take care of the right-handed puck-moving defenceman problem once and for all AND it would let the Oilers send Reinhart and Nurse to Bakersfield with no risk attached.

Klefbom-Larsson
Sekera-Barrie
Davidson-Wisniewski
Oesterle/Fraser

As we all should know by now, it is silly season and hockey rumours are bound to find their way into our timelines more often than not. Take what you read here or any other place with a grain of salt and use your own judgement.

Let me know what you think about all of this speculation in the comments below!


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Oilers Talking to Panthers? Yak moving on?

I got word late last night from a source close to the team that the Florida Panthers have contacted the Edmonton Oilers regarding Nail Yakupov. The rumoured trade is being built around Yakupov, right-handed dman Alex Petrovic and a draft pick or picks could be coming back to the Oilers as well. The Oilers have also been talking to Brandon Pirri’s camp, I imagine he’d be Yak’s replacement if the Panthers deal goes through.

You can believe me or not but Bob Stauffer just started following Alex Petrovic’s Twitter account… Take it for what it is.

You might remember Alex Petrovic from his days with the Red Deer Rebels of the WHL or from his three-fight night last year vs Evander Kane. Check out the vid below… We’ll chat his stats and fancies after the clip.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nyvvu_tH_wI

ALEX PETROVIC

BIRTHYEAR 1992-03-03 BIRTHPLACE Edmonton, AB, CAN
AGE 24 NATION Canada
POSITION D SHOOTS R
HEIGHT 194 cm / 6’4″ WEIGHT 93 kg / 205 lbs
YOUTH TEAM Maple Leaf Athletic Club CONTRACT 16/17
NHL DRAFT 2010 round 2 #36 overall by Florida Panthers
CAP HIT $1,050,000

info grabbed from eliteprospects.com

Thanks to our stats guy Walter Foddis (@Waltlaw69), he dug up these gems regarding Petrovic’s fancy stats.
  • Petrovic’s 1pt/60 ranked 29th in the NHL amongst dmen last year in pts/60

  • WOWYs are a little mixed, but does suggest he’s a complimentary Dman. Several top-6 forwards seem to be better with him than without him, but he’s no possession driver.

  • Petrovic’s TOI (16:57) seems to suggest a 5/6 role.

  • Petrovic’s IAP ranked 33rd last season. (IAP = Individual Assists Percentage = The % of goals scored while player was on ice that the player has an assist on).

  • So in reading Petrovic’s HERO chart, his upside his is ability to contribute to offense, through his passing. His playmaking is top-pairing, but his goal scoring is weak. His shot suppression (defense) is also weak.

From Hockey’s Future:

Petrovic is a gifted defenseman and an authoritative force in his own zone. He moves the puck well but it is in the physical game where he excels. He punishes opponents in the corners and intimidates attacking forwards. – source

From George Richards (Panthers beat writer):

A stay at home defenseman, Petrovic is good at breaking opponents away from the puck and kicking it out.

Petrovic can also play a physical game – something that’s going to get noticed by the Panthers. – source

MY THOUGHTS

If Eric Gryba isn’t coming or a dman of that ilk or better and this trade is just to pick up a young right-handed dman who the Oilers are okay with leaving unprotected in the expansion draft, I don’t see the harm. Both Yakupov and Petrovic will be RFAs at season’s end and a deal like this could be to open up a spot to get a shooting machine like Brandon Pirri in the lineup. Yak doesn’t seem to have the trust from the Oilers brass and coaching staff and even though Chia claims that there was never a trade request… There was and that’s still an ongoing process.

As for Petrovic the player, we know he’s a tough son of a bitch. Not the greatest fighter but sticks for his teammates. He’s got size and the intangibles that will piss off the analytic folk. But anything that makes it tougher for the opposition to play in the Oilers zone makes me a happy guy.

My question is, what is the Panthers end game here? They’ve got Jagr and Reilly Smith on the right-wing there at the moment. Do they grab a player with potential whilst his value is so low that they could expose him in the expansion draft and have him possibly skipped over because they’ve got a logjam on the right-side with Ekblad, Demers, and Pysyk? Thus try to build his value back up with the crazy amount talent and skill they have down the middle there? Cheap contract, right?

I’d be stoked for Yak if he was dealt to the Panthers, another young player for Jagr to mentor…

There was a bit of chatter in Lowetide’s comments section here regarding such a deal.

I’ll be interested to see what the new WoodMoney metric says about Petrovic 🙂

So what do you think about this? Would you accept this sort of deal if the Oilers had no intentions of putting Nail Yakupov in the top-6 this upcoming season?

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