Tag Archives: Mike Smith

Edmonton Oilers Rumors: Oilers in the Market for a Goalie

It has been brought to my attention that the Mike Smith experiment might be coming to an end in Edmonton. A source informed me that multiple people in the Oilers organization are unhappy with Smith’s performances of recent. In addition to that, the fact that Smith chose to blame the team as a whole instead of taking some personal accountability for his .769 SV% game against the Wild.

BLH’s Thoughts

When I listen to that interview, I see a proud guy who’s been stung. He does take a bit of accountability at the beginning but probably not the kind that some of the fans of the Oilers would like. I think they want to see him say that the loss is on him and he’s got to be much better bla bla bla.

He’s not playing well at all, no argument there but his team around him HAS to be better too. If your goalie is the last line of defense, that means the rest of the skaters on the ice have jobs to do as well before he’s required to do his. So, when Smith refers to the team as a whole, that’s what he’s talking about. He’s holding his teammates accountable and from all reports, this is the kind of guy he is. On the other hand, if nobody is doing their jobs, success at this level is near to impossible.

You could probably hear a pin drop on the Oilers flight home eh?

I’m no goalie expert but these are my observations regarding Smith:

  • He’s having trouble with shots on the glove hand. Minnesota buried quite a few there last night.

  • His reaction time is poor. Remember that game against San Jose where the Sharks were scoring tipped shots left and right? It felt like every shot from the point that was touched found its way behind Smith.

  • Going post-to-post isn’t easy for any goalie but most can do it pretty well at this level. Smith got dinged up a few games ago and I feel like he’s struggled even more pushing off since that happened.
  • Smith used to come out and play the puck A LOT at the beginning of the year, but that’s slowed down.

I’ll say this though, consistency has never been a friend to Mike Smith. He’s always been up and down and if this is new to you, well there’s only one person to blame at that point. Head over to his Hockey-Reference page and take a look at his game logs over the years. Things will start to make a little bit of sense then.

What doesn’t make sense is Tippett’s insistence on soldiering on with him. He’s a “battler”, I get it, but that’s going to wear off real fast. Just ask Milan Lucic. The vets get the benefit of the doubt more often than not but the players know who can play and who cannot and if you cannot, you’ll lose that in-house support.

What I think we’re looking at is another Jason Garrison situation. If you remember, the Oilers signed the veteran defender last year after he came to camp on a PTO only to find out he didn’t have what it took to compete at the NHL level anymore. Eventually, he was shipped to Chicago along with Drake Caggiula for Brandon Manning and a random prospect.

I don’t think that the Oilers will have any luck trading Mike Smith. Either they stand by him (the most likely option) or they send him to the AHL (WAIVERS!!!) and call up Starrett when he’s healthy. Another option would be to release him and trade for a more capable backup keeper (not necessarily in that order).

The Options

  • MTL has Keith Kincaid and Charlie Lindgren playing in the AHL right now. I mean if the Oilers are looking to bring in Taylor Hall, they should consider Kincaid too since he had a large hand in Hall winning the MVP a couple of seasons ago.
  • Speaking of NJ, would you try to bring in Cory Schneider? Maybe along with Hall to bring Hall’s price down?
  • Eric Comrie in DET? They’ve got Jimmy Howard and Jonathan Bernier too.
  • WAS has a good tender playing in the AHL named Pheonix Copley. He was supposed to back up Holtby but Ilya Samsonov took that job.
  • PIT’s Casey DeSmith is another option. He was the Pens backup before they ran into some roster issues and were “forced” to swap him and Tristan Jarry.
  • Alexander Georgiev is being touted as a starting netminder who just needs an opportunity. Something he’s probably not going to get in NY with Igor Shesterkin completely dominating the AHL and looking like the de-facto successor to Henrik Lundqvist.

I just hope he’s not playing with a blown-up knee or a shredded hip or something because I like the guy and I’m disappointed his game is where it is at the moment. That said, the one thing that could derail Edmonton’s year is poor netminding.

What do you think? Let us know in the comments below!

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Edmonton Oilers GM1 Game Grades: What a Difference a Goaltender Makes

Prior to last night’s Oilers/Canucks game, I’d predicted that Vancouver would come away with the two points in overtime or a shootout. Well, we were a few inches away from at least heading to an extra frame as Alex Edler dinged one off of the iron in the closing seconds of the game.

It’s good to be wrong sometimes.

Speaking of folks being wrong…

Yeah, I have no idea why the Oilers would have Zack Kassian in the top-6 either… What kind of NHL coach would put him up there when they had a chance to claim Daniel Sprong or Josh Ho-Sang off of waivers for free?…

I heard that the in-game experience was a bit better. Is it true that they were parachuting pizzas down from the roof? I was pretty impressed with the pre-game introductions. If you were at the game, let us know how you felt about the whole thing!

Early on in this game, it wasn’t McDavid’s line that was terrorizing the Vancouver defense, it was the line of Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and Zack Kassian. They were absolute in their dominance until the adrenaline wore off… Even then they were still pretty good.

 What I was really looking forward to was observing how the Oilers new shut-down pairing of Adam Larsson and Darnell Nurse would fare… They did not fare well… At all. The shot attempts were 7 for and 26 against 5×5… Tough tough first outing for the pair. Can we just do the right thing and get Adam and Oscar back together, please? I’d also like to see these boys utilize the middle of the ice a bit more instead of the boards and glass.

Not to sound ungrateful or to throw water on an Oilers victory, but I didn’t think they played a good game. A couple of players had outstanding games whereas the majority of them did not. My feeling is that thanks to some heroic goaltending from 37-year-old Mike Smith and an MVP performance from Leon Draisaitl, the Oilers got away with one. If your eyes don’t’ agree with mine, maybe the analytics will help out.

The shot attempts were 71 for Vancouver (Tanner Pearson had 13 of them!) and 44 for the Oilers… Isn’t it a great thing that the game of hockey is so chaotic and that luck is an actual thing?

Good news and bad news on the special teams front! The good news is that the PK was 100% on the night, the bad news is that the PP went 0/2. I found that the Oilers had a tough time gaining entry into Vancouver’s zone and when they did, getting set up was an issue.

It’s only one game though and I like to break seasons down into 10-game game increments. The first one is going to go like this for the Oilers,

  • Vancouver (h): I predicted a loss. WIN
  • Los Angeles (h): I like the Oilers chances here against their former coach. (WIN)
  • NYI (a): The Islanders are a tough squad. Skill and grit in excess. (LOSS)
  • NJ (a): This game will feature FIVE former first overall picks… Should be exciting! (WIN)
  • NYR (a): The Rags are gonna be good soon, but I like the Oilers here. (WIN)
  • Chicago (a): I’ll take Edmonton’s young superstars vs. Chicago’s aging ones. (WIN)
  • Philadelphia (h): The Flyers are always a difficult team to beat and now they’ve got Hart. (LOSS)
  • Detroit (h): Ken Holland’s first game against his old team. DET’s defense is horrid though. (WIN)
  • Winnipeg (a): I’m a huge fan of WPG’s fwd core. I’ll take the Jets here. (LOSS)
  • Minnesota (a): What are the Wild anyhow? They don’t impress me. (WIN)

So if the Oilers can come out of the first ten matchups with seven wins. I’ll be mightily impressed. More realistically, since I’m pretty shat at game predictions, coming out of that stretch batting .500 sounds about right.

The way I’m going to try to do my game grades this year is that I will give each player a score between one and five but no threes so as to eliminate any fence-sitting. The scores would mean something along these lines,

  • 1 – Horrid effort, made an impact on the game negatively
  • 2 – Could’ve been better, didn’t make much of an impact
  • 4 – Above average, decent effort and impacted the game positively
  • 5 – Outstanding game, was a major difference-maker

These are your game grades,

Adam Larsson – 2 – Granted he only played 2 minutes with Klefbom, the pair’s CF% was 100%. That same stat with Darnell Nurse was 17.95%. Not good. A failed zone entry saw the puck go the other way for a JT Miller breakaway but good thing Mike Smith was there to stop it. Adam probably got the hairdryer during the intermission after that… That shot he blocked was something… Boy, did that look like it hurt. Gotta respect the balls on this guy, he stayed on the ice after that and continued to defend his net.

Alex Chiasson – 2 – Was this guy snakebitten tonight or what? THREE golden chances I counted where he was set up only to whiff on the puck or have the shot saved. Chiasson shows up out of nowhere at times, doesn’t he? He tried to run over Brandon Sutter but got the worst of it.

Colby Cave – 2 – Solid on the dot (50%) but a pretty invisible night for the Saskatchewan boy. Took an unnecessary penalty in the 2nd I feel.

Connor McDavid – 4 – That goal was pure magic, wasn’t it? Apart from that though, it was a slow game for the best player in the league. Did well to draw a penalty in the first, but never really got going until the end there. Was 64% on faceoffs.

Darnell Nurse – 2 – The best it got for Nurse on the evening was 52 seconds with Matt Benning when the Oilers had two shot attempts to Vancouver’s one. Next best CF% was 25% during his three and a half minutes with Ethan Bear (a rookie)… Darnell had better shape up, it’s a contract year baby! I suppose it wasn’t ALL bad for him, he did have a secondary assist and he wallpapered Micheal Ferland as well.

Ethan Bear – 4 – How calm and cool is this guy? He is so good at getting the puck moving the right way. On numerous occasions, he received a pass and within the blink of an eye, the puck was already going up the ice to a forward. Nothing phases him and I love it!

Gaetan Haas – I can’t give this guy a grade. He only played two measly minutes. And with his family all the way from Europe in the stands no less… However, during his shift in the first period, I thought he was where he needed to be and executed a lovely zone exit. You’d have like to have had him win the faceoff in his own zone on that shift though. If Tippett isn’t going to play him, send him to Bakersfield or put him in the press box and give Patty “The Danish Love Muscle” Russell some TOI.

James Neal – 2 – LOVED the big hit on Edler early on and I think he had a really solid game. Only two shots but had four hits and was excellent on the forecheck. He didn’t cost his team just by being on the ice which can’t be said for the guy he was traded for.

Joakim Nygard – 2 – Threw a massive hit in the 3rd on Edler to separate the puck from Vancouver’s greybeard. He also had a lovely scoring chance early in the 2nd when James Neal sent him on a partial breakaway. I loved his forechecking! His speed really causes problems for defensemen. Got to know the timekeeper well during his two (I think) stints in the box serving the too many men on the ice penalties that Edmonton took.

Josh Archibald – 2 – To be frank, I didn’t notice him too much. The odd time he showcased his speed but really was ineffective to the eye in my opinion.

Jujhar Khaira – 2 – One little rush and dangle in the initial frame of the game but didn’t have the game I was hoping he would. JJ put his team in a spot of bother on more than one occasion with poor puck decisions. There’s so much potential there with this guy, but time is running out on him. He’s got to get things sorted. Hopefully, this was just a case of early-season jitters.

Kris Russell – 2 – Might’ve been at fault on the Canucks’ first goal. I think it’s possible it glanced off of him as he tried to block the shot. Rusty had one play where his patented starfish paid off later on in the game as he stifled a pass from the corner. The guy works his ass off, what can you say?

Leon Draisaitl – 5 – 27 minutes… Are you kidding me? I’d say about ten of those were Haas’, but when “Das Maultier” is in a groove, you give him all the time he needs. Great job to be in the right place at the right time, not only for his goal but the shot that hit the post too. He’s just swatting guys off of him like they’re mosquitos now too eh? I mean how strong is this guy?

Markus Granlund – 2 – What are we gonna do with this guy? Is he hurt or something? All of the preseason and now the first game of the regular season and he’s yet to show up.

Matthew Benning – 4 – How is it that this guy can sh*t the bed during training camp, have everyone on his case, and then in the first regular season game put up two assists and be on the ice for all three goals? Is he good, lucky, or both?

Mike Smith – 5 – THAT is how you want to start your season with a new club. His ability to handle the puck was a difference-maker on the evening. The Canucks’ big gunners had no answer for him (or his posts). I’d roll with him again on Saturday. Saved Nurse’s and Larsson’s butts on more than one instance, most notably JT Miller’s breakaway.

Oscar Klefbom – 4 – A VERY solid game for Klef. He was one of the only players who consistently played well throughout the whole game. In the first period, there was a specific shift where a Canucks’ shot rebounded into the corner and Klef gathered it, seen he was under pressure and bulldozed through a forecheck with a pivot and a push, then with the silkiest of mitts sauced it backhand over the back of the net (between Bear and Ferland) to Zack Kassian to exited the zone under control.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins – 4 – A rare dominating night on the dot (75%). Twice he set up Alex Chiasson beautifully and Chasser couldn’t bury either of them.

Zack Kassian – 4 – What great vision he had to tap that puck over to Leon for his goal and to find him for another grade A chance that hit the post. He hit Klefbom with a lovely cross-ice pass later on in the period as well that Oscar failed to capitalize on. Then the velocity on the shot for his own goal. WOWZAS! Kass can really rip a wrister. He was his usual tenacious self throughout the game for the most part. One notable hit was when he ran over Troy Stetcher behind the Oilers net around the middle of the 1st period.

The next game up is on Saturday when Todd McLellan returns to town with the LA Kings. Can the Oilers make it two in a row? We’ll see!

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Edmonton Oilers: Oilers Set to Sign Brassard and Mike Smith’s NEW Goalie Gear Revealed!

It’s been an unusually busy couple of days recently with regards to Edmonton Oilers news. LOTS of Jesse Puljujarvi talk (erroneous mind you), and news that the Oilers have most likely found their third-line center, as well as, Mike Smith revealing the gear that he’ll be wearing in conjunction with the new 3rd jersey that Edmonton will be rolling out.

*EDIT* Sportsnet’s Chris Johnston is reporting that the Oilers are out of the mix for Derick Brassard and Andrew Gross is saying he’ll be signing with the Islanders. It’s likely that yesterday that Brassard was very close to signing with the Oilers but it hinged on another offer. Still, nothing is official at this point in time and he could sign in Edmonton yet. Feel free to read the portion on the UFA below if you’d like but you just have to pretend that Johnston didn’t say anything. Ha! *EDIT*

On Brassard

I’m not really convinced with Derick Brassard. I feel like the Oilers have a similar player in Sam Gagner and in Cooper Marody. In addition to that, I imagine Edmonton was looking for a player who could win a faceoff or two and help out on the PK. Brassard has never been much of a faceoff man (48.2%) and he’s never been a contributor to the penalty kill. The most time he’s ever spent playing on the kill was way back in 2014/15 when he had a shade under 20 minutes.

In 70 games with Florida, Pittsburgh, and Colorado, he played 892 minutes 5×5 averaging just under thirteen minutes per game. Here are his fancies for the year,

CF% rel: -5.58 (7th worst in NHL)
FF% rel: -6.46 (3rd worst in NHL)
SF% rel: -7.81 (WORST in NHL)
GF% rel: -20.29 (2nd worst in NHL)
xGF% rel: -11.33 (2nd worst in NHL)
SCF% rel: -8.79 (2nd worst in NHL)
HDCF% rel: -12.31 (2nd worst in NHL)
HDGF% rel: -22.84 (2nd worst in NHL)

In brackets is his ranking amongst centers who played 700 minutes or more last year.

To say the ice was tilted the other way when Brassard was on the ice is putting it nicely. We’re talking Will Acton-like fancies here.

I’d use a current Oiler to give some context to but according to Natural Stat Trick, the only centers who fit the parameters are McDavid, Draisaitl, and Nuge… I guess we can use Kyle Brodziak as he played 681 minutes. That’s as close as we’re going to get.

CF% rel: -2.93
FF% rel: -1.73
SF% rel: +0.11
GF% rel: -16.32
xGF% rel: -4.19
SCF% rel: -7.28
HDCF% rel: -5.81
HDGF% rel: -15.94

Well, at least the shot share was in the right direction. Considering Brodziak might’ve been one of the worst Oilers last year (all due respect), Ken Holland is probably signing someone worse IF we’re just going off of last year’s stats.

Now, this is a player who used to be over 2pts/60 a year, now he can barely make 1pt/60. That’s 1 point every 5 games for him… Replacement level.

That said, we don’t know why the dropoff for this player was so bad, so we shouldn’t lay into him too much, but it is fair to speculate as to whether he will help or hurt the Oilers’ playoff chances next year, right?

Yes, this is a low-risk, high-reward sort of move the analytics guys will probably lap up and Edmonton could use some more scoring from the bottom six. By signing a player like Brassard it will force the guys on the farm to really perform during camp and win their spot on the roster in 2019/20. Ken Holland likes his vets and reclamation projects though, so I’d say Brassard would really have to shit the bed to get beat out here.

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It’s not all that bad though. My sources say that he’ll be signing for under a million dollars, so if Brassard doesn’t work out it won’t cost the Oilers anything to send him to Bakersfield. If he does work out though on a soft-minutes 3rd line with a guy like Josh Archibald and Joakim Nygard, well all praise to Lord Holland and Sir Tippett then.

My feeling is that the 3C spot should go to someone who excels as a two-way forward. A right-shot and someone who is really good at faceoffs. At this point in time, Derick Brassard is none of that. I suppose all he has to do is outperform Tobias Rieder though.

Did you know that the Oilers VP of Player Development, Scott Howson, was the GM of the Columbus Blue Jackets when Derick Brassard played there?

On Mike Smith

Well, there you have it. That setup will definitely work with the Oilers’ new 3rd but what I’m really interested in seeing is Smith’s new helmet. I really dug the Mike Vernon one he had in Calgary and I wonder if he’ll try to do something similar in Edmonton…

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Edmonton Oilers: 2019 Free Agency Day 1 Review + Bob Stauffer’s Jesse Puljujarvi Trade Scenarios

Did you get the feeling that after the Oilers hired Ken Holland to be their new GM that he’d be making big moves right away? Were there any indications that he might try to build up the roster bit by bit instead of blowing it up? Was there anything that he said that lead you to believe that major changes were coming?

I didn’t think so. So why is it that so many people were disappointed yesterday? Holland did do what he said he was going to and that’s to add speed and depth to the bottom-6. So wouldn’t we want to give him some credit there? I’d say it’s looking pretty deep so far. Lots of competition and that’s what we want, right? We don’t want to be gifting AHLers jobs right at the onset of training camp anymore and Holland is doing a pretty decent job of preventing that.

Am I disappointed the Oilers couldn’t get their hands on Gus Nyquist? Sure. But I never really expected him to sign in Edmonton, so I’m pretty meh on it. Besides, there are lots of good free agents still out there and the longer they go without getting a contract, the less they’re more likely to sign for and that would be perfect for Edmonton. Look at this list,

  • Pat Maroon (More on him at the end)
  • Ryan Dzingel
  • Michael Ferland
  • Tomas Vanek
  • Marcus Johansson
  • Jason Pominville
  • Patrik Marleau
  • Joe Thornton
  • Justin Williams
  • Jake Gardiner
  • Derrick Brassard
  • Pontus Aberg
  • Nick Cousins
  • Niklas Kronwall
  • Ben Hutton

Tons of useful players still out there. So don’t fret that Edmonton didn’t make some blockbuster signing on day one of free agency and actually be happy they signed the players they did to short-term cheap deals because it sounds like push will be for the 2020 off-season to make some big moves. You should see the list of players that could be unrestricted

  • Taylor Hall
  • Torey Krug
  • Tyson Barrie
  • Tyler Toffoli
  • Chris Kreider
  • Justin Faulk
  • Sami Vatanen
  • Robin Lehner
  • Brayden Schenn
  • Cody Eakin
  • Charlie Coyle
  • Jaro Halak
  • JG Pageau

Wow! If they make it there, next summer will be HUGE and you’ll really want the Oilers to have a lot of cap-room then.

But let’s talk about the players that Edmonton did sign.

THE NEW GUYS

Mike Smith is a player I did not like at all before yesterday but I’m going to love the shit out of him as an Oiler. “He’s the best puckhandling goalie the Oilers have ever had!” is how one source of mine described him. This is a player who is on the verge of retirement I reckon but he still has some magic left in him. He’ll be a great help to the Oilers locker room and even though he’s coming off his worst season ever, I will overlook that because we don’t judge on one season, right? He has a long stat sheet that’s full of above average numbers that I would prefer to take into consideration when judging the former NHL All-Star and Gold Medal-winning Olympian. For $2M, I’ll take him.

Markus Granlund was described to me by another source out of Vancouver as “someone who plays centre and wing – kills penalties – works hard. Good versatility.” Ken Holland praised him for how professional he is. Now, I’ll be frank here, he’s never stood out to me when the Oilers have played Granlund’s teams in Vancouver or Calgary but if the plan is to improve the PK, then this is a good add. I don’t need anything flashy out of him, but what I do want is a smart player here and someone who is an upgrade on Tobias Rieder.

The Finn averaged 2:22 on the kill for Vancouver last year, so he was a trusted member of the penalty killing crew and he also scored 19 goals spending most of his TOI with Brandon Sutter and Loui Eriksson a couple of seasons back. $1.3M per is a bit high for me, but what are we talking about here? A 3rd liner for under $1.5M is pretty decent in reality, especially if he scores in double digits.

Tomas Jurco used to be a pretty well thought of prospect in the Red Wings system when they had Martin Frk coming and Tomas Tatar. I guess things never really panned out for him as they moved him on to Chicago for a 3rd round pick in the 2017 draft that turned into another well-regarded prospect, Keith Petruzzelli.

Jurco, to me, is another Ty Rattie or Valentin Zykov. The tools are there but something is missing. He’s depth scoring but I’m not sure if he’ll even make it up past the 3rd line in Edmonton. He had a good playoff for Carolina’s farm team in Charlotte mind you, 18pts in 18 games. He’s there to provide competition and as I said above, to make sure the Oilers aren’t rushing teenagers and first-year pros onto an NHL roster.  He could turn out to be this year’s Alex Chiasson if all the stars aligned. 700k? sounds good to me whether he’s getting that in Edmonton or Bakersfield.

Gaetan Haas and Joakim Nygard I have no expectations for. They’ll be who they’ll be but we won’t know that until we see them at training camp and into the exhibition games. One thing I’ve heard folks complaining about online is how he wasn’t even the best player on his team let alone the league he played in and to that I say, it’s not always about the stats… Sometimes the skill set and fit for the team is more important. Also, look at where Melker Karlsson sat on his team’s scoring the year before San Jose brought him over. Edmonton just needs some players who will work their asses off, play smart, and maybe contribute on the scoreboard from time to time. You never know with these guys, right? I mean, we’re not talking about 21-year-old kids coming over. Both Haas and Nygard are closer to thirty than twenty-one years old.

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THE RE-SIGNINGS

Alex Chiasson is a player I’m glad the Oilers could re-sign. I like the term ($2.15M) and the length of the deal (two years). He’s kind of like an introverted Pat Maroon. He works his butt off, he sticks up for his teammates, he gets to the mucky areas, he stands in front of the goalie and actually screens him, plus he’s sneaky good at finding the open space for a scoring chance. He is streaky though, so fans have to come to grips with that, but he scored over 20 goals last season and Edmonton really needs as many 20 goal scorers as they can get.

Jujhar Khaira, I still don’t know what to figure about him. I reckon at $1.2M over the next two campaigns, he’ll be worth his pay. My friend Jeremy says JJ is working VERY hard this off-season to prove to the Oilers that he’s ready to take the next step and solidify his spot on the team. Now, be that as a left-winger or a centreman, that remains to be seen, but there are a couple of things I really enjoy about JJ’s game,

  • He’s tough as nails and already has a reputation league-wide as someone not to mess with. Cross-checking that one dman in the neck last season probably helped that a bit too.
  • He’s so powerful when he gets the puck. I really like watching him exit the D-zone with the puck.
  • He’s got pretty good hands for a man his size.
What’s interesting about these re-signings is that they’re completely moveable in the event that the Oilers are out of the playoff race again next season, they can move Chiasson and/or Khaira to a team that wants to “beef up” for their club for the playoffs.As we move deeper into the off-season, I think it would benefit Edmonton to bide their time and let the other teams blow up their cap-space. By the time training camp is ending, there’ll be some players who hit the waiver wire that might be of interest to the Oilers and it behooves them to have cap space available just in case a trade needs to be made or a player claimed.

Are the Oilers a better team today than they were yesterday? I’d say yes because they added some much-needed depth to their team and they didn’t sacrifice much to do it. Could they get better before game one of the 2019/20 season? Absolutely. I expect them to.

The fact remains though, the Oilers still need a player on their roster who can play in the top-6. I was told that they’re working on two deals, one that could bring in a forward and a defenseman and one that would bring in two forwards. So we’ll have to wait and see if that pans out and who it’ll entail.

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JESSE PULJUJARVI/MILAN LUCIC

Bob Stauffer had quite a bit to say on the topic of Looch and Pulju during his free agency coverage.

“I can see Milan Lucic being moved in the next three weeks.”

The time frame here is important because Milan hasn’t had his bonus paid out to him yet, that’ll happen in the next three weeks… So we’ll have to wait on this one for a bit.

Stauffer also wondered what might shake out of NY with the Panarin signing… Brought up Kreider and wondered about Puljujarvi possibly bringing in a $3M-$4M player to play in the top-6.

I think Kreider would be a fine addition but he only has one year left on his contract and surely he’ll be looking for mega-bucks next summer. You’d have to think that the Rangers wouldn’t just take Puljujarvi straight across for Kreider, right?

“Could you get Rust out of PIT, could you get Heinen out of BOS?”

I believe PIT already turned down the Rust for Pulju offer but it could be revisited at some point. As for Heinen, his point totals went down this season for Boston by 13 points and he only managed 8pts in the playoffs. I don’t think that’s the kind of return that would “help” the Oilers. Rust’s point totals weren’t much better but he scored 18 goals. Also, he’s a bit more rounded out and experienced than Heinen.

For the second show in a row, a Puljujarvi for Erik Haula trade hypothetical was proposed by Stauffer. His reasoning was that if Carolina matches the Sebastien Aho offer-sheet, that might put them a couple million over their self-imposed salary cap and since Haula makes $2.75M, why not swap Haula’s contract for Puljujarvi’s? If Jesse were to just accept the qualifying offer, it’d be under half of what Haula makes and that might make it more palpable for Tom Dundon.

I still think that Pulju is going to an East coast team and I threw out five teams that might have or have had an interest in Puljujarvi (BOS, NYR, NYI, NJ, TB). Are there any top-6/9 forwards on those teams that could shake out or some good prospects?

  • BOS – Maybe I’d look at Jakub Lauko or Jack Studnicka if I were to go after prospects. If I wanted roster players, I’d ask around Charlie Coyle or Torey Krug and expand the trade a bit. Boston has some major players that need resigning, most notably Charlie MacAvoy and Brandon Carlo.
  • NYR – I know the Oilers were looking at Jesper Fast and Vlad Namestnikov in the past, would they still hold interest for Holland? Pavel Buchnevich is another name that I’m not too sure about in New York. He’s 24, an RFA, and has put up two really productive seasons in a row. My feeling is that he’d be a coveted player for New York but I’m just not sure they’re convinced he’s part of their future. That said, it’d take more than Puljujarvi to pry him out of the Big Apple. Maybe we have a friend in NYC that could help facilitate things?
  • NYI – The Islanders have a few youngsters who are taking their time developing. Michael Dal Colle, Josh Ho-Sang, Keifer Bellows, and Oliver Wahlstrom all have yet to realize their potential for the Big Lou’s team. Ho-Sang is probably the readiest but he’s got some attitude problems. As for the other three, they were great scorers before they turned pro… Could the Oilers help them to bring it out at the NHL Level? They wouldn’t be hurt the cap much.
  • NJ – I like Pavel Zacha here. He’s another player who is having a difficult time finding traction in the NHL but I like his size and his skill set. We know he’s good for 25pts because in his three seasons in NJ he’s never scored less than 24 and no more than 25. The former 6th overall pick in the McDavid draft hasn’t played more than 70 games either though… So there’s that to consider.
  • TB – Julien Brisbois needs to move some salary and pick up nothing in return so that they can re-sign Brayden Point. So I think the Oilers should target Tyler Johnson and his $5M contract. If they did get him, they’d have their own cap problems to deal with but at least the top-6 would have proper depth and time to relieve that pressure.

But there’s a new option as well. If Carolina lets Aho walk to MTL, could that be a destination for Puljujarvi? He could get back together with Aho and between those two and Kotkaniemi be quite the handful… Perhaps Charles Hudon, Joel Armia, or Artturi Lehkonen would be part of the ask.

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OTHER NOTES

  • As I reported before Mark Spector (hehe), the Oilers do have interest in Pat Maroon BUT he might be looking for term that Edmonton might not be able to give him. That said, in the event that the Oilers do sign him, they could reunite the Maroon/McDavid/Draisaitl line and bump Kassian down. It would mark the end of the Milan Lucic era.
  • If Carolina matches Aho’s offer sheet, it wouldn’t surprise me if Carolina and Edmonton got together NEXT summer to make a deal that would include Ryan Nugent-Hopkins going to the Hurricanes and Aho to Edmonton. This was suggested on Oilers Now and endorsed by Bob Stauffer.

Edmonton Oilers: Finding One Goalie, Three Forwards, and One Defenseman PLUS BLH’s Top 50 2019 Draft Prospects

Oilers Now host Bob Stauffer recently tweeted out what he felt like the Oilers would be adding going into the 2019/20 season under the context of an $81.5M-$82.5M salary cap.

  • Sign 1B goalie who can start 30-35 games ($1.5M-$2.5M).
  • Add one top-9 forward ($2.5M-$3.5M).
  • Bring in two forwards for the bottom-6 ($1M or less).
  • Get creative opening up a couple of spots on defense for Caleb Jones, William Lagesson, Ethan Bear, and/or Joel Persson.

Well if I had to guess for each one of the suggestions above and taking into consideration Ken Holland’s relationships created through his time in Detroit, I would say that there’s a really solid chance that he’s going to be able to spruce up the Oilers roster in short order.

THE 1B GOALIE

I really liked Petr Mrazek’s season for Carolina and I believe there’s still a lot of game left in the 27-year-old. He played 40 games and 2.39 GAA and a .914 save percentage. If the Oilers are looking for a guy who’ll be able to play a solid chunk of the season, then Mrazek is their man. I think it would be tough to say if playing for Holland in Detroit was a pro or a con at this point. He was traded away from the Red Wings after all, but if anybody knew this guy through and through, it’d be Holland.

If the Oilers are looking for a more veteran presence here, Maybe Mike Smith. As much as I disliked him in Arizona and Calgary, he’s a pretty ornery goalie who doesn’t take any shit and he was the only Flame to show up in their brief playoff appearance this past season. I also like how he can play the puck, that said, it does come back to bite him in the butt from time to time.

THE TOP-9 FORWARD

Joonas Donskoi is my pick here. He’s the perfect middle-6 option for the Oilers. He’s fast, he can play both ways, and he’s seemingly good for around 30-40pts a year. He can skate quite well and he will go to the dirty areas. I also happen to believe that he’d be a great help to Jesse Puljujarvi and be able to mentor him a bit in the event that Pulju gives this new regime a chance. I’d reckon he’ll command close to $3M per year depending on the term length.

If the Oilers were to open up some cap space with a trade or two, I think Gustav Nyquist and Mats Zuccarello would most definitely be in their sights. I do see them demanding closer to the same dollar value and term as Jordan Eberle mind you. So would you be satisfied paying either $5.5M for five years?

Now if we come back down a bit, then I see Brett Connolly and Michael Ferland in the $4M-ish camp. Maybe Connolly will try to really bank on that career year of his and Ferland might get a bit more considering the narrative set from this year’s Stanley Cup Final. That being teams need to have tough mobile forwards to win.

And if we come right down, Alex Chiasson shouldn’t be commanding more than $2.5M nor can I see Richard Panik or Thomas Vanek charging any higher.

Some wildcards here might be Wayne Simmonds, Marcus Johansson, and Ryan Dzingel. Simmonds has really slowed down in recent years. His point totals have been decreasing and his PIMS increasing. Maybe that’s born out of frustration, but can you think of a GM that would pay him more than $4M given the unsure status of the cap and the expansion draft coming? He’s become a bit of an injury concern to boot.

Johansson was outstanding for the Bruins in the playoffs I found. His speed and puckhandling made him a dangerous target for Boston. Unfortunately, his health has been a major concern for the last two years and thus his production has dropped. What would you pay someone with a recent history like that?

As for Dzingel, I think he might be happy sticking in Columbus. He played college hockey there and with Artemi Panarin leaving, there’s pretty much a spot there for the taking. But in the case that he wants to hit the open market and see what’s out there, his speed and tenacity would be very welcome on the Oilers. Is he going to price himself out of Edmonton’s range though? Might be another guy looking at $5.5M a year.

THE TWO BOTTOM-6 FORWARDS

Daniel Carr has been on the Oilers radar for a long time. He’s basically a Brendan Gallagher-lite. Same playing style and traits but to a lesser degree. He spent the year in the AHL last season but he lit it up with 71pts in 52 games. He’s too good for that league and Edmonton could use him in their bottom-6. He’s a local lad too, so that might help getting him in under a million bucks.

Another player who spent the year in the Vegas Golden Knights organization, Brandon Pirri, would be a nice fit for Edmonton’s bottom-6. He scores wherever he goes but he can never stick. Now I’m not sure if that’s an attitude thing or what, but he produces and the Oilers need depth scoring. Had 12 goals in 31 games for Vegas last year.

Brandon Tanev piled up 29pts in 80 games for Winnipeg in 2018/19 while averaging around 14 minutes a game. 15 of those points were goals. Tanev plays a very aggressive game and he’s both fast and quick. Quite the waterbug he is. He won’t be signing for $1M but if the Oilers were interested, I wonder if he’d sign for Kassian money (a shade under $2M).

Other options here might be Adrian Kempe, who gave the Oilers fits last season with his tenacity and smart play down low. Garnet Hathaway would add some toughness to the bottom-6 IF Edmonton were looking for that, and Kenny Agostino kind of came out of nowhere to score 24pts in NJ/MTL last year. He’s got some speed to his game too.

The wildcard in all of this is Patrik Berglund. Yes, he quit the Sabres last year, turned down a crapload of cash to return home, but he says he’s ready to return to the NHL. At 31 years old, do you think he’s done as an NHLer? Would he be a decent 3rd line center?

THE DEFENSE

My feeling here is that Kris Russell and Matt Benning will be traded to open up that right side for Joel Persson and Caleb Jones. I get that Jones isn’t a right-shot defender, but he played that side almost all season last year in Bakersfield as he was pair with Mattias Ekholm clone, William Lagesson.

Getting back to Russell, no question, he’s not in the same bracket as Justin Braun, Matt Niskanen, or Radko Gudas, but he’s a wanted man in the NHL. His teammates love him wherever he goes and he’s well respected by coaches across the league.

Now if Braun can be moved for a couple of draft picks, I would think Russell could too (not a 2nd and a 3rd) and that would really create some wiggle room for Holland and co. They’ve got just over $9M in cap room right now and if they could move him without taking salary back that would take them to around $13M.

On the other hand and to make this a bit bigger of a deal, yesterday on Lowetide’s show, Tom Gazzola and Tyler Yaremchuk were discussing the possibility of moving Darnell Nurse for a right-shot top-4 defender and then using Sekera on the 2nd pair. It’s not a bad idea depending on who the dman coming back is… Ideally, you’d want someone who puts up as much as or more offense at evens than Nurse AND is a threat on the powerplay.

People aren’t going to like this suggestion, but what about Rasmus Ristolainen? His 65 points with the man advantage over the past three seasons has him tied with the $11M-man Erik Karlsson and that total has him above other all-star defenders like Kris Letang, John Klingberg, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Morgan Reilly, and Drew Doughty.

I’ve always liked this player because he’s massive, he’s tough, and he’s got a Cannon the likes Edmonton hasn’t seen since Sheldon Souray was around. That said, he’s not as proficient a scorer at evens as Nurse (60pts to Risto’s 51 in the past three years). I imagine folks will point to his fancy stats and complain as well, but it doesn’t matter which metric you use, I can most likely show you someone you might consider to be a much better defender who has similarly poor numbers there too.

Ristolainen is tied down for another three seasons at $5.4M per and if he’s putting up around the same stats as Nurse but better on the PP and the Oilers have players to fill in for Darnell, what’s the problem? Can you tell me that Darnell Nurse isn’t going to be asking for around $7M on a long-term deal next summer? If so, what number do you think he’ll sign for and do you think he’ll have earned that?

In three seasons, if it’s not working out, the Oilers could move Ristolainen if need be. It’d be easier due to his handedness and his PP production AND it would give the Oilers more time to develop their bluechip prospect, Evan Bouchard.

BLH’S TOP-50 2019 NHL DRAFT PROSPECTS

After extensive research and the use of around five draft guides this year, this is my list of 50 prospects for the upcoming 2019 NHL Entry Draft.

I dinged guys for work ethic issues or consistency problems. Players that were poor skaters were ranked lower if they didn’t have much else they could bring to the ice. If a player was considered a perimeter player, that didn’t help their case either. I do take size into consideration a bit. I found that there is a massive influx of sub-6-foot players eligible for the draft and that if everything was equal, I’d probably still take the bigger player.

Conversely, skaters who had a high work ethic and those that were outstanding skaters were ranked higher. I feel that skating is of the utmost importance with regards to the direction of hockey now. I’m also a fan of players who will play a bit old-school, meaning they aren’t afraid of the rough stuff and will get their noses dirty. Defensive IQ is as important to me as offensive IQ as well.

But as it is every year, sometimes a player is just so good at one thing, it overshadows his flaws, like Kirby Dach (consistency/work ethic) or Trevor Zegras (High risk/selfish). These players are ridiculously skilled and should be taken in the first seven picks I imagine, but for me, they drop a little bit. Whereas Matthew Boldy and Vasili Podkolzin probably aren’t as skilled as Dach and Zegras but they are much smarter players at both ends of the rink and if their offense dries up, they can still be impactful to the game.

The players in bold are where the Edmonton Oilers would be selecting.

  1. Jack Hughes – C – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  2. Kappo Kakko – RW – TPS (SM-Liiga)
  3. Bowen Byram – LHD – Vancouver (WHL)
  4. Alex Turcotte – C – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  5. Matthew Boldy – LW – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  6. Vasili Podkolzin – RW – SKA-Neva (VHL)
  7. Cole Caufield – RW – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  8. Alex Newhook – C – Victoria (BCHL)
  9. Kirby Dach – C – Saskatoon (WHL)
  10. Trevor Zegras – C – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  11. Dylan Cozens – C – Lethbridge (WHL)
  12. Peyton Krebs – C – Kootenay (WHL)
  13. Spencer Knight – G – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  14. Raphael Lavoie – C – Halifax (QMJHL)
  15. Cam York – LHD – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  16. Viktor Soderstrom – RHD – Brynas (SHL)
  17. Philip Broberg – LHD – AIK (Allsvenskan)
  18. Pavel Dorofeyev -LW – Magnitogorsk (KHL)
  19. Thomas Harley – LHD – Mississauga (OHL)
  20. Simon Holmstrom – RW – HV71 J20 (Superelit)
  21. Bobby Brink – RW – Sioux City (USHL)
  22. Jakob Pelletier – LW – Moncton (QMJHL)
  23. Mortiz Seider – RHD – Mannheim (DEL)
  24. Nils Hoglander – LW – Rogle (SHL)
  25. Tobias Bjornfot – LHD – Djurgardens J20 (Superelit)
  26. Lassi Thomson – RHD – Kelowna (WHL)
  27. Ryan Suzuki – C – Barrie (OHL)
  28. Matthew Robertson – LHD – Edmonton (WHL)
  29. Phil Tomasino – C – Niagara (OHL)
  30. Connor McMichael – C – London (OHL)
  31. Ville Heinola – LHD – Luuko (SM-Liiga)
  32. John Beecher – C – USNTDP (USHL/NCAA)
  33. Samuel Poulin – RW – Sherbrooke (QMJHL)
  34. Arthur Kaliyev – RW – Hamilton (OHL)
  35. Vladislav Kolyachonok – LHD – Flint (OHL)
  36. Patrik Puistola – RW – Tappara U20 (Jr. A SM-Liiga)
  37. Robert Mastrosimone – LW – Chicago (USHL)
  38. Albin Grewe – RW – Djurgardens U20 (Superelit)
  39. Semyon Chistyakov – LHD – Tolpar (MHL)
  40. Brayden Tracey – LW – Moose Jaw (WHL)
  41. Yegor Afanseyev – LW – Muskegon (USHL)
  42. Nolan Foote – LW – Kelowna (WHL)
  43. Anttoni Honka – RHD – Jukurit (SM-Liiga)
  44. Ryan Johnson – LHD – Sioux Falls (USHL)
  45. Nic Robertson – LW – Peterborough (OHL)
  46. Ilya Nikolaev – C – Loko Yaroslav (MHL)
  47. Jamieson Rees – C – Sarnia
  48. Jackson Lacombe – LHD – Shattuck (MIN- HS)
  49. Shante Pinto – C – Tri-City (USHL)
  50. Ethan Keppen – LW – Flint (OHL)