Tag Archives: Edmonton

Hallsy Still Salty

One podcast and two of my last three articles have been about Taylor Hall in some way. Everyone knows by now I was never the biggest fan of him or his play, and I’d love to stop writing about the guy, but he just can’t stop inserting himself into the Edmonton media and inviting commentary.

Enter David Staples and his latest hot take: reporting on some news from NJ.com and the Fire & Ice hockey blog about Hall’s latest comments on his inability to get over and move forward from his trade to New Jersey, David says,

“Hall’s resentment… still isn’t going away, nor is the very real and clearly bitter resentment that many of his biggest fans in Edmonton feel about the trade. They’re not even close to being over it and won’t be, I suspect, until the day Oilers GM Peter Chiarelli is fired.”

Ok. Well, that sentiment may be present in his fans, but I’d say it’s far and away not, in fact, the sentiment of many, many more Oilers fans who can understand and appreciate nuance in hockey trades and the extracurricular factors that sometimes surround them.

Regardless, Edmonton Oilers fans aren’t who Taylor Hall needs to be concerning himself with now. It’s New Jersey Devils fans. And frankly, if I were a Devils fan, I’d be pretty pissed off at Hall by this point, since all he can seem to talk about his how bummed he is to have been traded.

“But Mike, it isn’t his fault. He keeps getting asked these questions. It’s the media’s fault for beating a dead horse.”

Who cares? The media asks athletes all sorts of questions all the time, and mostly the answers they get back are lame and vague and platitudinous. But Hall has relished every opportunity that has come his way since July to wax poetic about his hurt feelings and the ill will still left in him.

Listen, I understand the emotional turmoil that can result from a sudden move and uprooting of a life. I’m a big proponent of talking through feelings and getting to root causes and doing proper psychological healing. But Hall needs to do that on his own time, in the proper setting. What he needs to be doing when the media comes to his door and fishes for headlines is start spouting the canned PR nonsense we all know and love from hockey players. (“Well, we gotta just start putting the puck in their net and keeping it outta ours, y’know?”) Because every time he bitches and moans about how hard-done-by he was by the Oilers brass, he implicitly complains about his new home and team in New Jersey, and it’s not a good look.

Taylor, I feel for you, buddy. This has been a weird summer. But to David Staples and Taylor Hall, you (Hall) had 6 years to do something with this team and city which handed you the keys, and nothing happened. This was a move we needed to make for the future of our hockey team. And whether you can rationalize it right now or not, you needed this, too.

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I’ve Got a Burnsing Desire

Allow me to start off with a preamble here: I love Ryan Nugent-Hopkins. I think he’s one of the best and most underrated two-way centers in the entire league. He’s a great kid. Keeps his head down, does his job, does work around the community, and is just generally a likable guy. I’d be gutted if we lost him.

THAT SAID…

What if he doesn’t have a breakout season here in 2016-17? That’s not to say as if he’s necessarily been “under-performing” in his first five seasons in the league. But you can’t say he hasn’t been a little… soft. Last year he dropped 27 games due to a broken finger, and he’s missed 44 total games in his career thus far. The more worrying thing is that he suffered in 2012-13 from the classic 21st century Oilers ailment known as “Shitty Shoulderitis”, and has already had it worked on a couple of times so far in his young career.

Now, this isn’t to say that he’s a broken man and a lost cause, it’s just a general comment on the physical aspect of his game: it just really isn’t there. Sweet baby Nuge doesn’t take sustained punishment by the NHL goon squad too well. Thankfully, he’s a smart kid, and is gifted with incredibly high hockey IQ, so he doesn’t necessarily need to play the toughest game out there. His intelligence on the ice gets him to where he needs to be and generally keeps him out of where he shouldn’t be. Generally.

I still can’t help but think that, as much as I like the guy, if a certain German stud steps up big time and shows he’s ready to sidle up into the 2C spot behind #97, and maybe a guy like Drake Caggiula ends up proving he can anchor a bottom-6… Well then that’s where things could get interesting.

THE TRADE

Here’s how I see it going down. We’ll have to wait for the 16-17 season to play itself out fully, see who gets moved where, who doesn’t live up to the hype here and there, but I see Edmonton shopping out Nuge to a team who needs a solid, 50-point, two-way center who can drive plays and collapse effectively when those plays don’t always work out. (Who couldn’t use that, right?) But specifically, a team like Minny or Columbus. Call me a cynic, but I just can’t see Pierre-Luc Dubois being the savior for that team. By the end of this season, RNH is still locked into a very reasonable $6M contract for another 4 whole years. That is a tasty deal for a long time, something a team on the receiving end of his skill set can build around.

I see us getting at least a 2nd round pick + top-4 d-man or top-9 forward or prospect out of an RNH trade, but that doesn’t matter so much when we look at…

THE TAKE

Literally the most normal photo I could find of this animal

Brent Burns. I want him. And not just for his ridiculous facial hair or ASG breakaway showmanship. He’s just so goddamn good. And as a 6’5″, 230-pound, right shot offensive defenceman, he’s exactly the type of hockey player that Peter Chiarelli is having exquisitely deviant dreams about right now.

Burns put up 27 goals and 48 assists (75P!!) in a full 82-game campaign last year. His boxcars read like this for his career so far: 797GP-141G-282A-423TP. He’s +3 in RelCorsiFor% averaged for his career. His playmaking is elite with a FirstA/60 rate of 0.53. He’s a giant goon and is a nightmare to play against because he’s so offensively strong while simultaneously being huge and very difficult to break past for opposing offensive players. He’s just so goddamn good.

He’s also coming into free agency at the end of this season. And his contract expiry is such that not only does San Jose not have to resign him before the dreaded expansion draft rolls around, he also doesn’t need to be protected from the clutches/talons/swords of the Las Vegas BlackJackKnightBirds or whatever they’re called this week. To me, this is a perfect storm for Burns to be testing the waters and seeing what a new team might be willing to give him to essentially cap off his fine career.

THE DEAL

Right now, Burnsy makes $5.76/per. A very respectable deal, no doubt. He’ll want more. So if the Oilers just so happen to find themselves, oh, I dunno, ~$6 million dollars richer by the end of next season, what can we reasonably offer Brent Burns that would convince him to pack his bags and head up to E-town?

Well, he’ll be 32 by the time this move is even viable. So I don’t see us wanting to offer him anything over 6 years. He’ll probably want to pull a Weber and be playing (“playing”) into his 40s, but it won’t happen. GMs are way too leery about those deals with defenceman nowadays, considering the fact that Arizona Coyotes legend Chris Pronger is still technically an NHLer. I think Burns will ask for 8, we’ll counter with 5, and ultimately settle on 6 years at something between $7.5-$8M. A huge contract, no doubt. But ultimately a workable one when you consider that we just made $4.5M more dollars by shockingly not resigning Nikita Nikitin, and we’re going to find another $3.25M when Andrew Ference’s contract goes away at the end of this season.

We also have our magical, high-profile player-accumulating tool known as Connor McDavid, and let’s not forget that Burns played for years with Todd McLennan behind him on the bench, and you’ve got to think that if the combo of McD + Chia gets us Looch, McD + MacT could get us Burns…

Anyway, keep in mind here that while San Jose is struggling to say the least with cap space, they are on the verge of losing Thornton and Marleau and their accompanying cumulative $13.4M to unrestricted free agency next season as well. So you never know, maybe they’ll throw the cheque book at Burns and tell him to write in a number he likes. Or, maybe they’re going to clear house and start from scratch. I know I’m sure hoping it’s the latter. Sorry, Nuge.

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Hedge Your Bets on Benson

I’m typing this article up on a combination of an iPad Air 2 + Apple Magic Keyboard 2. It’s replacing my very-powerful-yet-very-old-and-temperamental Macbook Pro that I picked up sometime in 2010. It’s a great computer and all, but more often than not it’s a headache to use, it doesn’t show up for me every day, and basically I just needed something new, different, more reliable. Maybe the iPad doesn’t have the same kind of raw computing power as my old Mac, but it is also without the old, buggy software and backlog of files slowing it down every time I need to count on it.

Which is, of course, an absolutely perfect metaphor for who we’re going to be talking about today: Tyler Benson. I’m going all in here, and I’m predicting that Tyler Benson is going to grow into the perfect left wing replacement for Taylor Hall. It might not be this season or the next, but wait and see. By his early 20s, Benson is going to be an absolute force in the NHL, and he’ll be tearing it up on the left side in a very Hall-like fashion, but (hopefully) without all the other bullshit getting in the way of otherwise remarkable performances.

BACKGROUND

The Edmonton Oilers picked up a really interesting player in the 2016 NHL Entry Draft in Tyler Benson. He’s an Edmonton boy, and a minor celebrity coming out of the South Side Athletic Club following his just absurd numbers put up in AAA with the Lions Bantam team. Touted by some analysts in the early 2010s to be the “Next One” out of Western Canada, how did such a shining prospect fall into the Oilers’ laps 32nd overall in the 2nd round?

In a word: injuries.

The kid was an absolute monster in AAA. Like, as in, “numbers no one had ever seen before.” He scored 146 points (57G, 89A) in 33 (33!) games in 2013 for the SSAC Lions. Can you just imagine for a second what scoring almost 4 1/2 points per game must feel like? Absurd. And according to an Edmonton-based /r/hockey redditor familiar with his junior league play, Benson’s bantam coach — in an apparent show of mercy and good sportsmanship (but mostly mercy) — would often bench him for much of the 3rd periods of his games when the scores just got out of hand. So really, his point totals should’ve been even higher than the already-terrifying numbers he put up playing only 2/3 of his normal shifts.

But last winter, after being drafted first overall into the WHL for the 2014-15 season and putting up a very good showing (62GP-14G-26A-40TP), his 2015-16 campaign was cut short to only 30 games when he had to have surgery to remove a cyst from his back. In a stroke of horribly bad fortune, Tyler then developed a groin/lower core issue called osteitis pubis, which is a disorder that kids get from working out too much and too hard.

BEYOND BOXCARS

Boxcars are good and all, but with the absence of advanced stats in the minor leagues, how does Benson really “play the game” outside of putting up just a whacky amount of points, and why do I think he’ll be a perfect Taylor Hall replacement if he gets back and keeps his health?

Steve Kournianos has this to say about the Vancouver Giants captain:

“He is a nightmare to defend because he is as physically punishing with the puck as he is without it… Benson is very shifty with tremendous balance, meaning he can continue to move if he gets hit at the same time he decides to change direction. Possessing the kind of vision and IQ he owns makes it no surprise the CHL came close to giving him “exceptional” status to play a full season as a 15 year old (cut short by a knee injury).”

He’s not a small guy at 6′ and 200lbs, and if his scouting reports are to be believed, he’s steady and stable with and without the puck, and can be a real force at both ends of the ice. He’s sure-footed, and the word “complete” gets used time and time again when referring to the guy. Say what you want about Taylor Hall, but to my eyes and ears, we were never seeing or hearing those things said about him. Hall simply isn’t a defensively-minded forward, and despite his elite foot speed, almost every game he was over-skating pucks and slipping on the ice at inopportune times. Flame away in the comments section, guys, but I’m just sayin’…

SUMMARY

Chiarelli says Benson’s hockey sense is “through the roof”, and the reports out of orientation camp in Jasper this year have him looking and feeling healthy. The Oilers organization has a real gem with former Olympic gold medal-winning figure skater David Pelletier as their skating coach, and I have no doubt that he and the other coaches in the system will be working closely with Benson to ensure that he maintains his health in a sustainable way.

The irony here is that, had Tyler been fully healthy for his last season in the W, there’s no chance the Oilers get to pick him up at #32. The same Draft Analyst article by Kournianos has him being compared with the likes of Auston Matthews with regard to his on-the-spot corrections and his ability to create offense in ostensibly impossible situations, for Christ’s sake. I, for one, am right chuffed on Tyler Benson, and I look forward to having this article cited about four years from now when he’s considered an elite NHL winger and I get to say “I told you so!”

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Oilers 2016 Draft Scenarios and is Charlie McAvoy the Next Ryan Suter?

First off, the last few weeks since the Oilers season ending have been pretty hectic for me. I’ve recently completed by Journalism Diploma from SAIT and on May 5th I interviewed for a position in SAIT’s Radio program. The interview went well, and I’m hopeful to get in. On top of all that, I have recently gotten back to work at my summer job working at a Calgary Golf Course.

None the less, as life starts to settle down here for a bit I am looking forward to getting some more articles done in the near future.


Now, we turn our attention to the NHL Entry Draft, where the Oilers will be holding the fourth overall selection.

As it stands right now, I am in the company of trying to trade the pick for some defensive help. It’s tough to get an idea where the other teams in the top 15 stand, and whether or not the Oilers will be able to find a partner.

In an ideal scenario, I would like to see the Oilers move pick fourth overall for a solid top-4 NHL defenceman (see: Hamonic, Barrie, Shattenkirk.)

Islanders: Likely to hold a pick around 20th overall, probably too far away to get an impact defensive prospect. Hamonic is still the best option. They would love to have a Tkachuk/Dubois to play in their top six.

Avs: Hold pick 10. I could envision the Avs wanting to draft a defenceman, as it appears Barrie be on his way out. By trading up to four, the Avs could get their choice of Dmen, as well as acquire other assets by trading Barrie to Edmonton. I could also see them taking a Tkachuk or Dubois. Could Pouliot be dangled?

Blues: They’re still in the playoffs as of today, and they will be picking somewhere in the 20+ range. Shattenkirk is just the type of top four guy we are looking for, and moving the fourth overall pick would be a great option should the Oilers be able to resign him.

Where am I going with this?

Well, I think the Oilers should be looking long and hard at moving the pick. I really do. The Oilers have such a dire need to replenish the defensive ranks that if the team could make a deal for Barrie + No. 10 overall we would be able to fill some gaps. More than likely, the Oilers would need to add in to balance a deal out. Maybe a player like Benoit Pouliot would be of interest?

Picking at 10 would give the Oilers the option of more than likely being able to land one of Chychrun, Juolevi, Sergachev, McAvoy, Bean or Fabbro.

I recently sat down and ID’d Boston Univ. RSD Charlie McAvoy as someone who would be a great option for the Oilers.

He is a 6’1, 211 lb freshman who has been compared in the past to Ryan Suter.

BLH pointed out to me that during last year’s World Junior Hockey Championships, he was referred to by commentators as playing a very similar style of game to Suter. According to Christian Roatis’ NHL Equivalency Calculator, Suter’s NHLE was 17.5 pts, while McAvoy’s is 20.5.

This past season, the freshman went 3-22-25 in 37 games

Here is how Boston University’s head coach David Quinn described McAvoy this past season:

Charlie has been an elite player for a long time. We expect him to make an immediate impact and play in all situations. He’s got great skills and vision and he’s a big, strong kid that skates well. One of the top freshman defensemen in college hockey. Source.

And from NHL Central Scouting’s David Gregory:

He has a real pro game to him. He’s a player who, because of his late birthdate (Dec. 21. 1997), has played with players already drafted at a very high level for a long time, but has shown the kind of game that really translates well to the pro game.

It may take [McAvoy] longer to get up to the level of speed of the college game, but knowing what I know about his game, I don’t think it’ll be that long. He’s going to be playing at a level that will allow NHL teams to say, ‘I can see where he’ll fit into our system and where he projects as a pro player.’ He will become a legitimate NHL defenseman. Source.

The work he put in this season helped launch him up the NHL Central Scouting North American rankings, going from ninth in NA ranked skaters in the midterm rankings up to sixth by the time they released their final rankings.

Interestingly enough, I feel that him being a Boston Terrier is going to draw Peter Chiarelli to him. He has a longstanding connection with the University team, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Oilers figure out a way to pick him up.


Drop me a line, and let me know what you think.

As always, I can be reached at on Twitter, or by email: zjlaing@gmail.com.

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How Deep is the Oilers Organizational Depth? Your 5-year Old is Safe to Swim on the Right Side.

Much of our time is spent debating whether we can trade Eberle, RNH or Yakupov to get that defenseman we all covet, and I do that myself.  But, out of curiosity, I thought I’d take a look at what the organization depth chart actually has for pieces, and where our depth is to draft from in a trade.  Just to be completely absurd, I’ve drafted another article where I completely contradict myself and deal both Eberle and RNH, with the justification I acquired veteran replacements.

Ok, so we have for next season the following players:

Left wingers: Taylor Hall, Benoit Pouliot, Lauri Korpikoski, Matt Hencricks

Right wingers: Jordan Eberle, Teddy Purcell (UFA), Nail Yakupov, Zack Kassian, (RFA) Iiro Pakarinen (RFA)

Centers: Connor McDavid, Leon Draisatl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Mark Letestu, Anton Lander

Left Defense: Andrej Sekera, Darnell Nurse, Brandon Davidson (RFA), Andrew Ference, Oscar Klefbom

Right Defense: Justin Schultz (RFA), Mark Fayne, Eric Gryba (UFA), Adam Clendening (RFA)

Goaltending: Cam Talbot, Laurent Brossoit (RFA), Anders Nilsson (RFA)

____________________________________________________________

Top Prospects:

Goal: Laurent Brossoit, Eetu Laurikainen, Zach Nagelvoort

Right Wing: Tyler Pitlick

Left Wing: Anton Slepyshev, Jujhar Khaira, Danill Zharkov, Mitchell Moroz

Center: Bodgan Yakimov, Kyle Platzer, Greg Chase, Tyler Vesel

Left Defense: Griffin Reinhart, Dillon Simpson, Martin Gernat, David Musil, Joey LaLeggia, Jordan Oesterle, William Lagesson, Caleb Jones

Right Defense: Ethan Bear

Of that group, the top prospects are: Slepyshev (7.5), Khaira (7.0), Zharkov (7.0), Reinhart (8.0). Simpson (7.0), Gernat (7.0 – RFA), Musil (7.0 – RFA), Bear (7.0).

In short, 3 LW, 4 LHD, and one RHD.

___________________________________________________________

Now, assuming the Oilers were to let their UFAs go and qualify their RFAs, and we just consider the top-tier of prospects, this is the organizational depth:

Left Wing: Taylor Hall, Beniot Pouliot, Lauri Korpikoski, Matt Hendricks, Anton Slepyshev, Jujhar Khaira, Danill Zharkov

Right Wing: Jordan Eberle, Nail Yakupov, Zack Kassian, Iiro Pakarinen

Center: Connor McDavid, Leon Draisatl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Mark Letestu, Anton Lander

Left Defense: Andrej Sekera, Oscar Klefbom, Brandon Davidson, Darnell Nurse, Griffin Reinhart, Dillion Simpson, Martin Gernat, David Musil

Right Defense: Justin Schultz, Mark Fayne, Adam Clendening, Ethan Bear

Goaltending: Cam Talbot, Laurent Brossoit, Anders Nilsson.

So, that’s the organizational depth chart including all prospects considered “NHL Caliber”.  What jumps out: There’s a lot of talent down the left, and there’s a brutal lack of it down the right and not a whole lot down the middle.

If the Oilers are going to do any deals, it’s to improve their right side defense and right wing at both the NHL level and the minor league system, or organizational depth at C and G, and the options they have to do that are drawing from their left-side depth.  As much as we all discuss dealing Eberle, Yakupov or RNH, those areas are major team weak spots, and would require replacements coming back in a deal.

At this point, the logical place to draw from is the prospect pool at LW and LHD in exchange for veterans on the Right side.  This something teams like Chicago have been traditionally very good at doing, swapping prospects for prospects that better fit their team.  Now we wait and see how good Chiarelli is at it.